Letter From the Editors Charles Smulders and Anne Powell 18 December 2001 Following the events of Sept. 11, Gartner published a Spotlight that provided best-, most-likely and worst-case forecast projections for each platform area based on three economic scenarios (see Worldwide Hardware and Systems Forecast Scenarios: Life After 11 September). In this issue, we follow up that work with a qualitative assessment of what to expect from each hardware platform market in 2002. Each piece of research contains predictions for the year and recommendations for suppliers and users. This has been a difficult year. The negative impact on IT spending of a slowing U.S. economy was becoming clear by the close of the first quarter of 2001. By the third quarter most other regions were also feeling the effects of that slowdown. Tightening IT budgets have precipitated or accelerated a change in purchasing behavior, forcing vendors to re-evaluate their market strategy. While many of the keys to success in 2002 will be platform-specific, certain common themes can be found.  Read more

spotlight.feedback@gartner.com

	Overview Hardware Platform Market Predictions for 2002 17 December 2001 Leslie Fiering The year 2002 will be another year of turmoil in the hardware market, so expect consolidation and price pressure. Technology will be less of a demand driver than perceived value.

Handheld PC Market Predictions for 2002 10 December 2001 Todd Kort   Ken Dulaney The year 2002 promises to be a time of upheaval in the handheld computer market, with intensifying price competition, new processors, new operating systems and new devices with wireless capabilities.		Notebook Market Predictions for 2002 14 December 2001 Leslie Fiering   Mark Margevicius Value-oriented notebooks will be featured in 2002, rather than innovative features. 802.11b will become increasingly important. Built-in wireless, 14.1-inch SXGA screens and USB2 will be standard in mainstream commercial products.
Desktop PC Market Predictions for 2002 14 December 2001 Charles Smulders   Mark Margevicius Most desktop PC vendors will fight for survival in 2002. For users, PC replacements will be based upon end-of-life issues rather than compelling technology.		Storage Market Predictions for 2002 14 December 2001 Roger W. Cox    Mary Craig    Carolyn DiCenzo    John Monroe    James Opfer    Pushan Rinnen    Fara Yale Worldwide storage markets will experience profound and lasting changes in 2002.
Server Market Predictions for 2002 11 December 2001 Jeffrey Hewitt  Leslie Fiering While the server market in 2002 will not exhibit overall strong growth, there will be several market areas that will offer significant business returns for both vendors and end users of the technologies.		IBM Mainframe Platforms Predictions for 2002 17 December 2001 Josh Krischer We review the IBM mainframe market situation, look back at the major changes in 2000 and predict IBM's likely major announcements in 2002.
Non-IBM Mainframe Platforms Prediction for 2002 17 December 2001 Josh Krischer All major non-IBM mainframe vendors will continue to develop their product lines and will make significant announcements in 2002. There is no risk to staying with a non-IBM vendor through 2005 or 2006.		Thin-Client Predictions for 2002 17 December 2001 Peter Lowber We predict a 35 percent growth in Windows Terminal Servers in 2002, driven by wider, more-strategic enterprise deployments.
Office Document Predictions for 2002: Output Awakens to Digital and Color Potential 14 December 2001 Peter Grant    Don Dixon    Andrew Johnson Office document output predictions for 2002 include directions for this $22 billion industry.