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Oracle's Bid for PeopleSoft: Update 19 June
19 June 2003
 
Betsy Burton   Bruce Bond   Jeff Comport   Simon Hayward   Robert P. Desisto   Karen Peterson   Lee Geishecker  

With its tender offer for PeopleSoft, Oracle is attempting to gain more control over broader markets. Gartner advises how this offer could affect you.









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Event

As of 19 June 2003, the latest developments in Oracle's unsolicited bid to acquire PeopleSoft include:

  • On 16 June 2003, PeopleSoft altered its offer to acquire J.D. Edwards from an all-stock offer to a combination of stock and cash.
  • On 18 June 2003, Oracle raised its offer for PeopleSoft from $16 per share to $19.50 per share, or $6.3 billion in cash.
  • On 18 June 2003, the state of Connecticut said it would sue to stop Oracle's takeover of PeopleSoft.
  • On 18 June 2003, Oracle filed suit against PeopleSoft, its board of directors, and J.D. Edwards. Oracle alleges various breaches of their fiduciary duty to give due consideration to Oracle's unsolicited bid for PeopleSoft.

First Take

Oracle's offer for PeopleSoft has much greater impact than appears on the surface. Gartner believes the deal has already disrupted the businesses of PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards. But the deal also touches many markets beyond business applications. This move could affect the businesses and strategies of major software vendors in addition to the three principals Oracle, PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards (see "The Deeper Implication of Oracle's Bid for PeopleSoft").

Gartner advice: By increasing its offer price, Oracle indicates to the market that it is serious about completing its proposed acquisition of PeopleSoft. However, PeopleSoft's altered bid for J.D. Edwards accelerates its merger timetable with the intent to complicate Oracle's bid. Moreover, the Connecticut lawsuit shows Oracle will face challenges to the deal from customers and regulators. That action, Oracle’s suit against PeopleSoft, and the suits by PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards against Oracle suggest more legal maneuvers will come. The latest developments have not changed Gartner's positions. Since the outcomes of the various lawsuits and shareholder votes are extremely difficult to predict, carefully consider all possible outcomes of the two proposed deals when reviewing your application software strategy.

Gartner recognizes that many clients are under pressure to execute planning and deployment schedules. We are therefore delivering research that provides advice for a range of client situations based on where they are in the application life cycle, their risk tolerance and their own assessment of the likelihood that Oracle will complete the acquisition of PeopleSoft (see "Short-Term Advice for PeopleSoft Customers and Prospects"). We see some evidence of PeopleSoft trying to calm customers' concerns by offering to add contingency clauses to contracts that take into consideration a potential change in ownership (for Gartner's advice, see "Frequently Asked Questions on the Oracle/PeopleSoft Deal").

Gartner continues to work on research related to the individual markets affected and the impact on customers of other vendors. We encourage clients to review our current research, and if you have specific questions, talk with your Gartner analyst — by phone (United States +1 203 316 1266, Europe +44 1784 267770) or e-mail (bizapps@gartner.com, euro.inquiry@gartner.com). Gartner offers the following research:





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© 2003 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The conclusions, projections and recommendations represent Gartner's initial analysis. As a result, our positions are subject to refinements or major changes as Gartner analysts gather more information and perform further analysis. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




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