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Oracle's Bid for PeopleSoft: Update 1 July
1 July 2003
 
Betsy Burton   Bruce Bond   Jeff Comport   Robert P. Desisto   Lee Geishecker   Simon Hayward   Karen Peterson  

With its tender offer for PeopleSoft, Oracle is attempting to gain more control over broader markets. Gartner advises how this offer could affect you.









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Event

As of 1 July 2003, the latest developments in Oracle's unsolicited bid to acquire PeopleSoft include:

  • On 30 June 2003, the U.S. Department of Justice issued a second request for information from Oracle and PeopleSoft. The two companies must provide more information, in greater detail, than they did for the first Justice Department request. Oracle wants the Justice Department to follow the same procedure for PeopleSoft’s planned acquisition of J.D. Edwards.
  • Gartner’s recent research indicates that Oracle's bid has complicated PeopleSoft’s ability to close deals with some customers in 2Q03.

First Take

The request for more detailed information does not predispose the Justice Department's antitrust investigation to one outcome or the other. Conventional wisdom holds that the request aids PeopleSoft’s attempt to thwart Oracle’s takeover bid. However, the request could also extend the final resolution of Oracle's takeover attempt and the uncertainty regarding PeopleSoft’s future. Gartner sees this uncertainty damaging PeopleSoft’s business as companies delay closing deals with PeopleSoft. The longer Oracle’s bid remains unresolved, the more we believe it will harm PeopleSoft’s business.

Ironically, enterprises that are interested in PeopleSoft products but that delay signing a deal or try to negotiate for extremely favorable terms contribute to a financially weaker PeopleSoft. These companies therefore may unintentionally aid Oracle’s efforts to own PeopleSoft. Although consolidation is natural and generally healthy in a maturing market, it does not always benefit users ("Consolidation: A Reality That's Not Always Good for Users").

Many clients are under pressure to execute planning and deployment schedules for products from the vendors in this fight. Since the outcomes of the various lawsuits and shareholder votes remain extremely difficult to predict, we are delivering research that provides advice for a range of client situations based on where they are in the application life cycle, their risk tolerance and their own assessment of the likelihood that Oracle will complete the acquisition of PeopleSoft. (see "Short-Term Advice for J.D. Edwards Customers, Prospects" and "Short-Term Advice for PeopleSoft Customers and Prospects"). We see some evidence of PeopleSoft trying to calm customers' concerns by offering to add contingency clauses to contracts that take into consideration a potential change in ownership (for Gartner's advice, see "Contractual Protections for PeopleSoft Customers").

Gartner continues to work on research related to the individual markets affected and the impact on customers of other vendors. We encourage clients to review our current research, and if you have specific questions, talk with your Gartner analyst — by phone (United States +1 203 316 1266, Europe +44 1784 267770) or e-mail (bizapps@gartner.com, euro.inquiry@gartner.com). Gartner offers the following research:





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© 2003 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The conclusions, projections and recommendations represent Gartner's initial analysis. As a result, our positions are subject to refinements or major changes as Gartner analysts gather more information and perform further analysis. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




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