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Oracle's Bid for PeopleSoft: Update 15 July
15 July 2003
 
Betsy Burton   Bruce Bond   Jeff Comport   Robert P. Desisto   Lee Geishecker   Simon Hayward   Karen Peterson  

With its tender offer for PeopleSoft, Oracle is attempting to gain more control over broader markets. Gartner advises how this offer could affect you.









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Event

As of 15 July 2003, the latest developments in Oracle's unsolicited bid to acquire PeopleSoft include:

  • On 14 July 2003, the U.S. Department of Justice decided it will not issue a second request for information about PeopleSoft's bid to acquire J.D. Edwards. The Justice Department thus ends its investigation of the potential antitrust issues of this deal.
  • On 14 July 2003, PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards announced that they expect to close the deal on 17 July 2003.
  • On 14 July 2003, Oracle extended the deadline for its bid to buy PeopleSoft from 18 July to 15 August 2003 and reiterated the offer price of $19.50 per share.

First Take

The Justice Department's decision removes a critical obstacle to PeopleSoft's acquisition of J.D. Edwards, which PeopleSoft will try to close quickly. The acquisition of J.D. Edwards will give PeopleSoft a potentially higher long-term market valuation and make it a potentially more expensive acquisition target. If the PeopleSoft purchase of J.D. Edwards is consummated, it does not mean the end of Oracle's bid for PeopleSoft. Oracle's extension of the deadline further illustrates that the uncertainty will continue.

Clients should continue to watch for new developments, regularly re-evaluate their view of whether Oracle's bid will succeed and use Gartner's decision frameworks accordingly. Clients should not oversimplify their decisions by simply not buying products from PeopleSoft or J.D. Edwards until the deal is settled. Gartner continues to advise clients considering PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards offerings to use Gartner's decision frameworks to determine their strategy. The frameworks yield different advice depending on each client's view of whether the deals will be completed balanced with its risk tolerance (see "Short-Term Advice for J.D. Edwards Customers, Prospects" and "Short-Term Advice for PeopleSoft Customers and Prospects"). Clients aiming to sign purchasing contracts in the short term with PeopleSoft should not make the decision based exclusively on negotiated reimbursement guarantees such as those of the Customer Protection Program. Rather, make sure any contracts are thorough, particularly in areas such as support, upgrades, migration and service (see "Contractual Protections for PeopleSoft Customers"). Ironically, enterprises that are interested in PeopleSoft products but that delay signing a deal or try to negotiate for extremely favorable terms contribute to a financially weaker PeopleSoft. These companies therefore may unintentionally aid Oracle’s efforts to own PeopleSoft.

PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards customers must now consider their offerings in the context of the combined entity. PeopleSoft likely will organize J.D. Edwards as a line of business focused on the midmarket, with the existing PeopleSoft products focused on large enterprises. Though the merger is simple in concept, execution will entail abundant complexities. PeopleSoft will consolidate general and administrative expenses and will search for operational efficiency. It will seek consolidation targets among the merged entity's two sales forces, at least three product development teams (and technical foundations) and multiple support groups. Over time, a high and low product strategy may work, but product rationalization will likely cause some evolution and displacement of products, strategies, technology and people.

Gartner continues to work on research related to the individual markets affected and the impact on customers of other vendors. We encourage clients to review our current research, and if you have specific questions, talk with your Gartner analyst — by phone (United States +1 203 316 1266, Europe +44 1784 267770) or e-mail (bizapps@gartner.com, euro.inquiry@gartner.com). Gartner offers the following research:





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© 2003 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The conclusions, projections and recommendations represent Gartner's initial analysis. As a result, our positions are subject to refinements or major changes as Gartner analysts gather more information and perform further analysis. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




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