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Oracle's Bid for PeopleSoft: Update 18 July
18 July 2003
 
Betsy Burton   Bruce Bond   Jeff Comport   Robert P. Desisto   Lee Geishecker   Simon Hayward   Karen Peterson  

With its tender offer for PeopleSoft, Oracle is attempting to gain more control over broader markets. Gartner advises how this offer could affect you.









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Event

As of 18 July 2003, the latest developments in Oracle's unsolicited bid to acquire PeopleSoft include:

  • On 18 July 2003, PeopleSoft announced that 88 percent of J.D. Edwards stock has been tendered to PeopleSoft. PeopleSoft will be filing long-form merger papers in the State of Delaware, and the acquisition of the remaining shares will likely close within 20 business days.
  • On 16 July 2003, PeopleSoft stated that J.D. Edwards stockholders will receive $14.7384 in cash, stock, or a combination of cash and stock for each share of J.D. Edwards common stock tendered, based on the exchange offer that was set to expire at midnight Thursday, 17 July 2003.
  • On 14 July 2003, the U.S. Department of Justice decided it will not issue a second request for information about PeopleSoft's bid to acquire J.D. Edwards. The Justice Department thus ends its investigation of the potential antitrust issues of this deal.
  • On 14 July 2003, Oracle extended the deadline for its bid to buy PeopleSoft from 18 July to 15 August 2003 and reiterated the offer price of $19.50 per share.

First Take

PeopleSoft now controls a majority stake in J.D. Edwards, and the acquisition will close within 20 business days. PeopleSoft faces the opportunities and challenges of integrating the two companies and delivering on their product road map plans (see "PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards Fit, but Merger Will Be Complex"). PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards complement each other in industry sectors, product functions and geographic presence. If the combined company PeopleSoft/J.D. Edwards remains independent, it will be a strong competitor in the applications space. However, PeopleSoft's acquisition of J.D. Edwards does not mean the end of Oracle's bid for PeopleSoft. Oracle's extension of the deadline means the uncertainty will continue. But the acquisition of J.D. Edwards gives PeopleSoft a potentially higher long-term market valuation and makes it a potentially more expensive acquisition target.

Clients should continue to watch for new developments, regularly re-evaluate their view of whether Oracle's bid will succeed and use Gartner's decision frameworks accordingly. The outcome of the Oracle bid for PeopleSoft has not yet been determined, so the future of J.D. Edwards products is not completely secure. Clients should not oversimplify their decisions by simply not buying products from PeopleSoft or J.D. Edwards until Oracle's bid for PeopleSoft is settled. Gartner continues to advise clients considering PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards offerings to use Gartner's decision frameworks to determine their strategy. The frameworks yield different advice, depending on each client's view of whether the Oracle deal will be completed and/or whether product delivery will be disrupted, balanced with its risk tolerance (see "Short-Term Advice for PeopleSoft Customers and Prospects"). Based on the impending completion of PeopleSoft's acquisition of J.D.Edwards, we have updated our advice for J.D. Edwards customers (see "Short-Term Advice for J.D. Edwards Clients: Update 18 July"). Clients aiming to sign purchasing contracts in the short term with PeopleSoft should not make the decision based exclusively on negotiated reimbursement guarantees such as those of the Customer Protection Program. Rather, make sure any contracts are thorough, particularly in areas such as support, upgrades, migration and service (see "Contractual Protections for PeopleSoft Customers"). Ironically, enterprises that are interested in PeopleSoft products but that delay signing a deal or try to negotiate for extremely favorable terms contribute to a financially weaker PeopleSoft. These companies therefore may unintentionally aid Oracle’s efforts to own PeopleSoft.

PeopleSoft and J.D. Edwards customers must now consider their offerings in the context of the combined entity. PeopleSoft likely will organize J.D. Edwards as a line of business focused on the midmarket, with the existing PeopleSoft products focused on large enterprises. Though the merger is simple in concept, execution will entail abundant complexities. PeopleSoft will consolidate general and administrative expenses and will search for operational efficiency. It will seek consolidation targets among the merged entity's two sales forces, at least three product development teams (and technical foundations) and multiple support groups. Over time, a high and low product strategy may work, but product rationalization will likely cause some evolution and displacement of products, strategies, technology and people.

Gartner continues to work on research related to the individual markets affected and the impact on customers of other vendors. We encourage clients to review our current research, and if you have specific questions, talk with your Gartner analyst — by phone (United States +1 203 316 1266, Europe +44 1784 267770) or e-mail (bizapps@gartner.com, euro.inquiry@gartner.com). Gartner offers the following research:





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