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ID Number: R-21-3371



This research is provided for historical perspective;
portions of this document may not reflect current conditions.






IT Watch: October 2003
16 October 2003
 
Thomas Hoover   Scott Evans  

Growing optimism about a general economic recovery in North America is not yet reflected in growth in IT demand. The Technology Demand Index (TDI) recovers only slightly in September to 87.








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Table of Contents



    
Analysis

1.0
    
Overall IT Demand

1.1
    
Current Demand: Reluctance to Spend Budgets May Delay Timing for IT Spending Recovery
1.2
    
Projected Demand: Growth in 2004 Likely — Strongest for SMB Markets
1.3
    
Top 25 Vendors Overall
1.4
    
Dell Shows Positive Momentum in Input/Output Devices Through Its Entry in the Printer Market
2.0
    
Vertical Highlights

2.1
    
Manufacturing, Education and Health Services Are Leading Current Spending Trends
2.2
    
Projected Demand in Services, Technology Manufacturing/Communications and Health Services Suggests Leadership in 2004 Recovery
3.0
    
General Sector Trends

3.1
    
Current Demand: No Sector Shows Strong Current Spending; Hardware an Area of Relative Strength
3.2
    
Projected Demand: Software and Services Show Some Improvement Since August, All Four Sectors in Similar Position
4.0
    
What to Watch
Appendix A.
    
Acronym Key
Appendix B.
    
Overall Sector and Product Index Scores


List of Figures



Figure 1. 
Unweighted Current Demand Index — Weekly Moving Average
 

Figure 2. 
Overall Index
 

Figure 3. 
Overall Index by Company Size
 

Figure 4. 
Top 25 Vendors by Vendor Demand Index
 

Figure 5. 
Current Demand Index — HP vs. Dell
 

Figure 6. 
Dell Printer Purchase — 2003 and 2004
 

Figure 7. 
Current Demand Index — Leading Verticals
 

Figure 8. 
Projected Demand Index — Leading Verticals
 

Figure 9. 
Sectors — Current Index
 

Figure 10. 
Current Demand Index — Sectors by Quarter
 

Figure 11. 
Sectors — Projected Index
 

Figure 12. 
Projected Demand Index — Sectors by Quarter
 

Figure 13. 
Overall and Sector Indices
 

Figure 14. 
Product Index — Hardware
 

Figure 15. 
Product Index — Software
 

Figure 16. 
Product Index — Networking and Telecommunications
 

Figure 17. 
Product Index — IT Services
 



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