IT Watch: April 2004

ARCHIVE

ID Number: G00120704

This research is provided for historical perspective;
portions of this document may not reflect current conditions.

26 April 2004

Brian Smith Scott Evans

IT spending approaches budgeted levels after several months of underbudget spending. At 98, the current aggregate TDI, Gartner's index of current demand, emphasizes recovering technology sectors in light of reported increases in 2004 budgets.

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Table of Contents

Analysis

1.0

IT Watch: An Overview

1.1		Current Demand Indices and New Current Purchasing Incidence Statistics: An Overview
1.2		Projected Demand Indices and Projected Purchasing Incidence Statistics: An Overview
1.3		Vendor Demand Indices and Purchasing Incidence Estimates and Forecasts: An Overview
1.4		Revised Weighting Scheme

2.0

First Quarter 2004 Spending Perspective: A Return to Normalcy

2.1		Current Demand
2.2		Projected Demand
2.3		IT Watch Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates

3.0

Longer-Range Budgeting Trends: Respondent Estimates for Changes in 2005 IT Budgets

4.0

What to Watch

Appendix A.

Acronym Key

Appendix B.

Monthly IT Services Indices

Appendix C.

Vendor Summary Indices by Month and Quarter

Appendix D.

Overall Sector and Product Indices Scores — Revised Weights

List of Figures

	Figure 1.	Current and Projected Demand From IT Watch Inception to Present — Aggregate

	Figure 2.	Anticipated Calendar Year IT Spending Reported for 2005 Compared to This Year (Weighted by Vertical and Company Size to Reflect Qualified Universe of All Networked Enterprises)

	Figure 3.	Current Demand by Sector (90-Day Moving Averages)

	Figure 4.	Current Demand for Hardware (90-Day Moving Averages)

	Figure 5.	Current Demand for Software (90-Day Moving Averages)

	Figure 6.	Current Demand for IT Services (90-Day Moving Averages)

	Figure 7.	Current Demand for Networking and Telecommunications (90-Day Moving Averages)

	Figure 8.	Projected Demand by Sector (90-Day Moving Averages)

	Figure 9.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Servers

	Figure 10.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Desktops and Workstations

	Figure 11.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Notebooks and Laptops

	Figure 12.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Handheld and Wearable

	Figure 13.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Storage

	Figure 14.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Input/Output

	Figure 15.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Security

	Figure 16.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Tablet PCs

	Figure 17.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Back-Office Applications

	Figure 18.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Collaborative and Personal Applications

	Figure 19.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Front-Office Applications

	Figure 20.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Application Development, Integration and Deployment Tools

	Figure 21.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Information Management Applications

	Figure 22.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Systems Applications

	Figure 23.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Design and Engineering Applications

	Figure 24.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Security Systems Applications

	Figure 25.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Hardware Maintenance and Support

	Figure 26.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Software Maintenance and Support

	Figure 27.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Consulting Services

	Figure 28.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Application Development and Integration Services

	Figure 29.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — IT Management

	Figure 30.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Process Management

	Figure 31.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — IT Training and Education Services

	Figure 32.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Enterprise Equipment

	Figure 33.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Infrastructure Equipment

	Figure 34.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Handsets

	Figure 35.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Services

	Figure 36.	Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Fixed Public Network Services

	Figure 37.	Estimates of Change in Overall IT Budgets for 2005 Compared to Current Year Budgets

	Figure 38.	Estimates of Change in Hardware Budgets for 2005 Compared to Current Year Budgets

	Figure 39.	Estimates of Change in Software Budgets for 2005 Compared to Current Year Budgets

	Figure 40.	Estimates of Change in Networking and Telecommunications Budgets for 2005 Compared to Current Year Budgets

	Figure 41.	Estimates of Change in External IT Services Budgets for 2005 Compared to Current Year Budgets

	Figure 42.	Estimates of Change in Internal IT Staffing Budgets for 2005 Compared to Current Year Budgets

	Figure 43.	IT Services Combined Index by Month

	Figure 44.	Vendor Summary Indices (Accenture to MCI) — Monthly

	Figure 45.	Vendor Summary Indices (Microsoft to Xerox) — Monthly

	Figure 46.	Vendor Summary Indices (Accenture to MCI) — Quarterly

	Figure 47.	Vendor Summary Indices (Microsoft to Xerox) — Quarterly

	Figure 48.	Overall and Sector Indices

	Figure 49.	Product Indices — Hardware

	Figure 50.	Product Indices — Software

	Figure 51.	Product Indices — Networking and Telecommunications

	Figure 52.	Product Indices — IT Services

Computing Hardware
IT Services
Communications Services
Business Applications
IT Spending
Communications Equipment
Software Infrastructure
Application Development

© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.

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