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Hype Cycle for Consumer Technologies, 2004
11 June 2004
 
Laura Behrens   David W. Haueter   Mike McGuire   Rich Mogull   Thilo Koslowski  

The proliferation of home digital products and services demonstrates that technological maturity alone does not guarantee successful passage through the Hype Cycle. Consumers also require ease of use and clear utility to embrace new technologies.







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Table of Contents


    
 Analysis

1.0
    
 Hype Cycle for Consumer Technologies, 2004
2.0
    
 On the Rise

2.1
    
 Smart Home Appliances
2.2
    
 Digital Media Centers
3.0
    
 At the Peak

3.1
    
 Digital Photo Printers
3.2
    
 Satellite Radio
3.3
    
 Digital Camcorders
3.4
    
 High-Definition TV Displays (Plasma, LCD, others)
4.0
    
 Sliding Into the Trough

4.1
    
 DVD Recorders
4.2
    
 Interactive TV
4.3
    
 Video on Demand
4.4
    
 Telematics
4.5
    
 Personal Video Recorders
5.0
    
 Climbing the Slope

5.1
    
 Digital Music Players
5.2
    
 PDAs
5.3
    
 Wireline Home Networking
5.4
    
 Broadband
5.5
    
 Household Wi-Fi
6.0
    
 Entering the Plateau

6.1
    
 Digital TV (Cable, Satellite, Broadcast)
6.2
    
 Digital Cameras
6.3
    
 DVD Players
6.4
    
 E-Payment
6.5
    
 Home Theater
6.6
    
 Game Consoles (Xbox, PS2, others)
7.0
    
 Off the Hype Cycle

7.1
    
 E-Book Readers
7.2
    
 Internet Shopping
8.0
    
 Conclusions
Appendix A.
    
 Hype Cycle for Consumer Technologies, 2003
Appendix B.
    
 Hype Cycle Phase Definitions
Appendix C.
    
 Benefit Rating and Maturity Level Definitions
Appendix D.
    
 Acronym Key


List of Figures


Figure 1. 
 Hype Cycle for Consumer Technologies, 2004
 

Figure 2. 
 Hype Cycle for Consumer Technologies, 2003
 

Figure 3. 
 Benefit Ratings
 

Figure 4. 
 Maturity Levels
 



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Emerging Technologies




© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




Resource Id: 450917