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This research is provided for historical perspective;
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Hype Cycle for PC Technologies, 2004
28 June 2004
 
Leslie Fiering   Ranjit Atwal   Joseph Byrne   Martin Gilliland   Brian Gammage   Todd Kort   Mikako Kitagawa   Mark A. Margevicius   Frederique Makharine   Kanae Maita   Martin Reynolds   Michael A. Silver   Lillian Tay   Amy Teng   Federica Troni   Joseph Unsworth   Andy Kok Mun Woo   Luis Anavitarte   Jim Tully   Ken Dulaney   Rafe John Graham Ball  

The cost of succumbing to PC hype is constant churn in the installed base with higher system image and support costs.







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Table of Contents


1.0
    
 Hype Cycle for PC Technologies, 2004

2.0
    
 On the Rise

2.1
    
 64-Bit Desktop Computing
2.2
    
 Multicore Processors
2.3
    
 Linux on Desktop for Mainstream Consumers
2.4
    
 OLED Screens
2.5
    
 Tablet PC
2.6
    
 Trusted Computing Group
2.7
    
 Home-Theater PC
2.8
    
 LeGrande Technology
2.9
    
 Wireless USB
2.10
    
 Three-Dimensional LCD Displays
2.11
    
 Blade PCs

3.0
    
 At the Peak

3.1
    
 ExpressCard
3.2
    
 Micro Fuel Cells
3.3
    
 TVPC
3.4
    
 Blu-ray vs. HD DVD
3.5
    
 Linux on Desktop for Mainstream Business Users
3.6
    
 PC Virtualization Software

4.0
    
 Sliding Into the Trough

4.1
    
 No Execute Flag
4.2
    
 Thumbprint Reader
4.3
    
 Bluetooth Peer-to-Peer

5.0
    
 Climbing the Slope

5.1
    
 Linux on Desktop for Data Entry Workers
5.2
    
 Serial ATA

6.0
    
 Entering the Plateau

6.1
    
 Flat-Panel Displays
6.2
    
 Smart-Card Reader
6.3
    
 USB Flash Drives
6.4
    
 Wi-Fi 802.11 a/g
6.5
    
 Hyperthreading
6.6
    
 Server-Based Computing/Thin Client

7.0
    
 Off the Hype Cycle

7.1
    
 Wi-Fi 802.11b

8.0
    
 Conclusions

Appendix A.
    
 Hype Cycle for Personal Computers, 2003

Appendix B.
    
 Hype Cycle Phase Definitions

Appendix C.
    
 Benefit Rating and Maturity Level Definitions

Appendix D.
    
 Acronym Key


List of Figures


Figure 1. 
 Hype Cycle for PC Technologies, 2004
 

Figure 2. 
 Hype Cycle for Personal Computers, 2003
 

Figure 3. 
 Benefit Ratings
 

Figure 4. 
 Maturity Levels
 



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© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




Resource Id: 452123