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Hype Cycle for Networking and Communications, 2004
14 June 2004
 
Bob Hafner   John S. Mazur   David L. Fraley   Patti A. Reali   Lawrence Orans   Mark Fabbi   Elroy Jopling   Bern Elliot   Eric Goodness   Juan Ignacio Fernandez   James Brancheau   Ted Chamberlin   Ken Dulaney   Richard D. Stiennon   Jason Chapman   John Girard   Phillip Redman   Rita E. Knox  

Dominating the Hype Cycle are technologies/services that support convergence of voice and data, and wired and wireless. Understand which technologies/services will affect your environments, and when, to use the technology for competitive advantage.







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Table of Contents


    
 Analysis

1.0
    
 Hype Cycle for Networking and Communications, 2004
2.0
    
 On the Rise

2.1
    
 Universal Switch
2.2
    
 AM/FM/TV Datacasting
2.3
    
 FSO
2.4
    
 Video Telephony
2.5
    
 Home Entertainment
2.6
    
 Power Line Broadband
3.0
    
 At the Peak

3.1
    
 IPv6
3.2
    
 XML Appliances
3.3
    
 Deep Packet Inspection Firewalls (Previously Intrusion Prevention Systems)
3.4
    
 Enterprise CDNs
3.5
    
 Telecom Expense Management
3.6
    
 Unified Communications
3.7
    
 UWB/802.15.3a/WiMedia
3.8
    
 WiMAX 802.16d
3.9
    
 FTTH
3.10
    
 VDSL
3.11
    
 Location-Aware Technology
3.12
    
 Wavelength Services (Previously Lambda Services)
4.0
    
 Sliding Into the Trough

4.1
    
 Ethernet MANs
4.2
    
 SSL VPNs
4.3
    
 GMPLS
4.4
    
 Cable VoIP
4.5
    
 IP Centrex
4.6
    
 Optical Switching
4.7
    
 Network Outsourcing
4.8
    
 NG Satellite
4.9
    
 Soft Switches
4.10
    
 WAN Compression
4.11
    
 ASPs
4.12
    
 SIP
4.13
    
 Video Streaming
4.14
    
 802.3af — Power Over Ethernet
4.15
    
 Unified Messaging
4.16
    
 Wi-Fi Hot Spots
4.17
    
 Bluetooth Peer-to-Peer
5.0
    
 Climbing the Slope

5.1
    
 IP Telephony
5.2
    
 MPLS Services
5.3
    
 IPsec VPNs
5.4
    
 VoIP
5.5
    
 MPLS
5.6
    
 GPRS
5.7
    
 DWDM
6.0
    
 Entering the Plateau

6.1
    
 ADSL/Cable Modem
6.2
    
 Managed Router Services
6.3
    
 Wi-Fi 802.11a/g
6.4
    
 Wi-Fi 802.11g
7.0
    
 Off the Hype Cycle

7.1
    
 Wi-Fi 802.11b
8.0
    
 Conclusions
Appendix A.
    
 Hype Cycle for Networking and Communications, 2003
Appendix B.
    
 Hype Cycle Phase Definitions
Appendix C.
    
 Benefit Rating and Maturity Level Definitions
Appendix D.
    
 Acronym Key


List of Figures


Figure 1. 
 Hype Cycle for Networking and Communications, 2004
 

Figure 2. 
 Hype Cycle for Networking and Communications, 2003
 

Figure 3. 
 Benefit Ratings
 

Figure 4. 
 Maturity Levels
 



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