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This research is provided for historical perspective;
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IT Watch: May 2004
21 May 2004
 
Brian Smith   Scott Evans  

North American IT demand declines in April. Current aggregate TDI, Gartner's index of current demand, slips to 89 after two months of increases. Weaker current demand contrasts with optimism for 2005 budgets and recent favorable economic news.








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Table of Contents



    
Analysis

1.0
    
IT Watch: What Is New

1.1
    
Top-Level Indices: Current Demand Weakens, Projected Demand Strengthens
1.2
    
Current Demand
1.3
    
Projected (2005) Demand
2.0
    
Budget Allocations by Product/Service Category
3.0
    
Current Purchasing and Projected Purchasing Plans for Products and Services
4.0
    
Hardware Vendor Purchasing Incidence
5.0
    
Software Vendor Purchasing Incidence
6.0
    
Networking and Telecommunications Vendor Purchasing Incidence
7.0
    
IT Services Vendor Purchasing Incidence
8.0
    
What to Watch
Appendix A.
    
Acronym Key
Appendix B.
    
Monthly IT Services Indices
Appendix C.
    
Vendor Summary Indices by Month
Appendix D.
    
Overall Sector and Product Indices — Revised Weights
Appendix E.
    
Vendor Indices for Products (Monthly)


List of Figures



Figure 1. 
Current and Projected Demand From IT Watch Inception to Present — Aggregate
 

Figure 2. 
Anticipated Changes to IT Spending in 2005 Compared to 2004 (Weighted by Vertical to Reflect Qualified Universe of All Networked Enterprises)
 

Figure 3. 
Current Demand by Sector (Monthly)
 

Figure 4. 
IT Spending Through April vs. Budgets by Employee Size
 

Figure 5. 
Current Demand for Hardware Product Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 6. 
Current Demand for Software Product Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 7. 
Current Demand for Networking and Telecommunications Product and Service Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 8. 
Current Demand for Externally Sourced IT Services Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 9. 
Projected (2005) Demand by Sector (Monthly)
 

Figure 10. 
Projected Demand for Hardware Product Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 11. 
Projected Demand for Software Product Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 12. 
Projected Demand for Networking and Telecommunications Product and Service Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 13. 
Projected Demand for Externally Sourced IT Services Categories (Monthly)
 

Figure 14. 
Mean Allocation of Hardware Budgets by Vertical
 

Figure 15. 
Mean Allocation of Hardware Budgets by Company Size
 

Figure 16. 
Mean Allocation of Software Budgets by Vertical
 

Figure 17. 
Mean Allocation of Software Budgets by Company Size
 

Figure 18. 
Mean Allocation of IT Services Budgets by Vertical
 

Figure 19. 
Mean Allocation of IT Services by Company Size
 

Figure 20. 
Hardware — Servers: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 21. 
Hardware — Servers: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 22. 
Hardware — Desktops: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 23. 
Hardware — Desktops: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 24. 
Hardware — Notebooks: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 25. 
Hardware — Notebooks: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 26. 
Hardware — Handhelds: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 27. 
Hardware — Handhelds: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 28. 
Hardware — Storage: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 29. 
Hardware — Storage: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 30. 
Hardware — Input/Output Devices: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 31. 
Hardware — Input/Output Devices: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 32. 
Hardware — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 33. 
Hardware — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 34. 
Hardware — Tablet PCs: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 35. 
Hardware — Tablet PCs: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 36. 
Software — Back-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 37. 
Software — Back-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 38. 
Software — Collaborative/Personal: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 39. 
Software — Collaborative/Personal: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 40. 
Software — Front-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 41. 
Software — Front-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 42. 
Software — Application Development: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 43. 
Software — Application Development: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 44. 
Software — Information Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 45. 
Software — Information Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 46. 
Software — Systems: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 47. 
Software — Systems: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 48. 
Software — Design/Engineering: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 49. 
Software — Design/Engineering: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 50. 
Software — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 51. 
Software — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 52. 
IT Services — Hardware Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 53. 
IT Services — Hardware Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 54. 
IT Services — Software Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 55. 
IT Services — Software Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 56. 
IT Services — Consulting: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 57. 
IT Services — Consulting: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 58. 
IT Services — Application Development/Integration Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 59. 
IT Services — Application Development/Integration Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 60. 
IT Services — IT Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 61. 
IT Services — IT Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 62. 
IT Services — Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 63. 
IT Services — Process Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 64. 
IT Services — IT Training: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 65. 
IT Services — IT Training: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 66. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Servers
 

Figure 67. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Desktops
 

Figure 68. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Notebooks
 

Figure 69. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Handhelds
 

Figure 70. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Storage
 

Figure 71. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Input/Output Devices
 

Figure 72. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Security
 

Figure 73. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Tablet PCs
 

Figure 74. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Back-Office
 

Figure 75. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Collaborative/Personal
 

Figure 76. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Front-Office
 

Figure 77. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Application Development
 

Figure 78. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Information Management
 

Figure 79. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Systems
 

Figure 80. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Design/Engineering
 

Figure 81. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Security
 

Figure 82. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Network
 

Figure 83. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Handsets
 

Figure 84. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Services
 

Figure 86. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Hardware Maintenance/Support
 

Figure 87. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Software Maintenance/Support
 

Figure 88. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Consulting
 

Figure 89. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Application Development/Integration Services
 

Figure 90. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — IT Management
 

Figure 91. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Process Management
 

Figure 92. 
Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — IT Training
 

Figure 93. 
IT Services Combined Index by Month
 

Figure 94. 
Vendor Summary Indices (Accenture to MCI) — Monthly
 

Figure 95. 
Vendor Summary Indices (Microsoft to Xerox) — Monthly
 

Figure 96. 
Overall and Sector Indices
 

Figure 97. 
Product Indices — Hardware
 

Figure 98. 
Product Indices — Software
 

Figure 99. 
Product Indices — Networking and Telecommunications
 

Figure 100. 
Product Indices — IT Services
 

Figure 101. 
Vendor Indices for Servers (Monthly)
 

Figure 102. 
Vendor Indices for Desktops (Monthly)
 

Figure 103. 
Vendor Indices for Notebooks (Monthly)
 

Figure 104. 
Vendor Indices for Handhelds (Monthly)
 

Figure 105. 
Vendor Indices for Storage (Monthly)
 

Figure 106. 
Vendor Indices for Input/Output Devices (Monthly)
 

Figure 107. 
Vendor Indices for Security (Monthly)
 

Figure 108. 
Vendor Indices for Tablet PCs (Monthly)
 

Figure 109. 
Vendor Indices for Back-Office (Monthly)
 

Figure 110. 
Vendor Indices for Collaborative/Personal (Monthly)
 

Figure 111. 
Vendor Indices for Front-Office (Monthly)
 

Figure 112. 
Vendor Indices for Application Development (Monthly)
 

Figure 113. 
Vendor Indices for Information Management (Monthly)
 

Figure 114. 
Vendor Indices for Systems (Monthly)
 

Figure 115. 
Vendor Indices for Design/Engineering (Monthly)
 

Figure 116. 
Vendor Indices for Security (Monthly)
 

Figure 117. 
Vendor Indices for Network (Monthly)
 

Figure 118. 
Vendor Indices for Mobile Handsets (Monthly)
 

Figure 119. 
Vendor Indices for Mobile Services (Monthly)
 

Figure 120. 
Vendor Indices for Fixed Public Network Services (Monthly)
 

Figure 121. 
Vendor Indices for Hardware Maintenance/Support (Monthly)
 

Figure 122. 
Vendor Indices for Software Maintenance/Support (Monthly)
 

Figure 123. 
Vendor Indices for Consulting (Monthly)
 

Figure 124. 
Vendor Indices for Application Development/Integration Services (Monthly)
 

Figure 125. 
Vendor Indices for IT Management (Monthly)
 

Figure 126. 
Vendor Indices for Process Management (Monthly)
 

Figure 127. 
Vendor Indices for IT Training (Monthly)
 



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