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This research is provided for historical perspective;
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IT Watch: September 2004
23 September 2004
 
Brian Smith   Scott Evans  

August shows weak demand for IT and marks the fifth consecutive month of underbudget spending. We attribute the trend to lowered business confidence. Respondent projections for 2005 IT budgets move upward slightly in August.








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Table of Contents


    
 Analysis

1.0
    
 IT Watch: What Is New

1.1
    
 IT Watch Indices Restated
1.2
    
 Projections for 2005 Budgets
1.3
    
 Custom Analysis of 2005 Budgets
2.0
    
 Projected Changes in 2005 Budgets
3.0
    
 Top-Level Indices: Current Demand and Projected Demand

3.1
    
 Current Demand by Sector
3.2
    
 Current Demand by Product Category
3.3
    
 Projected (2005) Demand
4.0
    
 Budget Allocations by Product/Service Category
5.0
    
 Current Purchasing and Projected Purchasing Plans for Products and Services
6.0
    
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Statistics

6.1
    
 Hardware Vendor Purchasing Incidence
6.2
    
 Software Vendor Purchasing Incidence
6.3
    
 Networking and Telecommunications Vendor Purchasing Incidence
6.4
    
 IT Services Vendor Purchasing Incidence
Appendix A.
    
 Acronym Key
Appendix B.
    
 IT Services Indices — Monthly
Appendix C.
    
 Vendor Summary Indices — Monthly
Appendix D.
    
 Overall Sector and Product Indices — Monthly
Appendix E.
    
 Vendor Indices for Products — Monthly
Appendix F.
    
 IT Watch Sample Breakdown — January Through August 2004


List of Figures


Figure 1. 
 Current and Projected Demand — Aggregate
 

Figure 2. 
 IT Spending for August vs. Budgets by Company Size
 

Figure 3. 
 Anticipated Changes to IT Spending in 2005 Compared to 2004 (Weighted by Vertical to Reflect Qualified Universe of All Networked Enterprises)
 

Figure 4. 
 Current Demand by Sector — Monthly
 

Figure 5. 
 Current Demand for by Sector — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 6. 
 Current Demand for Hardware Product Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 7. 
 Current Demand for Software Product Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 8. 
 Current Demand for Networking and Telecommunications Product and Service Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 9. 
 Current Demand for Externally Sourced IT Services Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 10. 
 Projected (2005) Demand by Sector — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 11. 
 Projected Demand for Hardware Product Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 12. 
 Projected Demand for Software Product Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 13. 
 Projected Demand for Networking and Telecommunications Product and Service Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 14. 
 Projected Demand for Externally Sourced IT Services Categories — 90-Day Moving Averages
 

Figure 15. 
 Mean Allocation of Hardware Budgets by Vertical
 

Figure 16. 
 Mean Allocation of Hardware Budgets by Company Size
 

Figure 17. 
 Mean Allocation of Software Budgets by Vertical
 

Figure 18. 
 Mean Allocation of Software Budgets by Company Size
 

Figure 19. 
 Mean Allocation of Networking and Telecommunications Budgets by Vertical
 

Figure 20. 
 Mean Allocation of Networking and Telecommunications Budgets by Company Size
 

Figure 21. 
 Mean Allocation of IT Services Budgets by Vertical
 

Figure 22. 
 Mean Allocation of IT Services Budgets by Company Size
 

Figure 23. 
 Hardware — Servers: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 24. 
 Hardware — Servers: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 25. 
 Hardware — Desktops: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 26. 
 Hardware — Desktops: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 27. 
 Hardware — Notebooks: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 28. 
 Hardware — Notebooks: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 29. 
 Hardware — Handhelds: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 30. 
 Hardware — Handhelds: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 31. 
 Hardware — Storage: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 32. 
 Hardware — Storage: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 33. 
 Hardware — Input/Output Devices: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 34. 
 Hardware — Input/Output Devices: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 35. 
 Hardware — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 36. 
 Hardware — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 37. 
 Hardware — Tablet PCs: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 38. 
 Hardware — Tablet PCs: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 39. 
 Software — Back-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 40. 
 Software — Back-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 41. 
 Software — Collaborative/Personal: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 42. 
 Software — Collaborative/Personal: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 43. 
 Software — Front-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 44. 
 Software — Front-Office: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 45. 
 Software — Application Development: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 46. 
 Software — Application Development: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 47. 
 Software — Information Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 48. 
 Software — Information Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 49. 
 Software — Systems: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 50. 
 Software — Systems: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 51. 
 Software — Design/Engineering: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 52. 
 Software — Design/Engineering: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 53. 
 Software — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 54. 
 Software — Security: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 55. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Network Equipment/Applications: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 56. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Network Equipment/Applications: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 57. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Handsets: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 58. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Handsets: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 59. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 60. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 61. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Fixed Voice/Data Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 62. 
 Networking and Telecommunications — Fixed Voice/Data Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 63. 
 IT Services — Hardware Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 64. 
 IT Services — Hardware Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 65. 
 IT Services — Software Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 66. 
 IT Services — Software Maintenance/Support: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 67. 
 IT Services — Consulting: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 68. 
 IT Services — Consulting: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 69. 
 IT Services — Application Development/Integration Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 70. 
 IT Services — Application Development/Integration Services: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 71. 
 IT Services — IT Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 72. 
 IT Services — IT Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 73. 
 IT Services — Process Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 74. 
 IT Services — Process Management: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 75. 
 IT Services — IT Training: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Vertical
 

Figure 76. 
 IT Services — IT Training: Percentage of Respondent Organizations Currently Purchasing (2004) and Projecting to Purchase (2005) by Company Size
 

Figure 77. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Servers
 

Figure 78. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Desktops
 

Figure 79. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Notebooks
 

Figure 80. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Handhelds
 

Figure 81. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Storage
 

Figure 82. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Input/Output Devices
 

Figure 83. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Security
 

Figure 84. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Hardware — Tablet PCs
 

Figure 85. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Back-Office
 

Figure 86. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Collaborative/Personal
 

Figure 87. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Front-Office
 

Figure 88. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Application Development
 

Figure 89. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Information Management
 

Figure 90. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Systems
 

Figure 91. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Design/Engineering
 

Figure 92. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Software — Security
 

Figure 93. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Network Equipment/Applications
 

Figure 94. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Handsets
 

Figure 95. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Mobile Services
 

Figure 96. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: Networking and Telecommunications — Fixed Voice/Data Services
 

Figure 97. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Hardware Maintenance/Support
 

Figure 98. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Software Maintenance/Support
 

Figure 99. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Consulting
 

Figure 100. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Application Development/Integration Services
 

Figure 101. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — IT Management
 

Figure 102. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — Process Management
 

Figure 103. 
 Vendor Purchasing Incidence Estimates: IT Services — IT Training
 

Figure 104. 
 IT Services Combined Index — Monthly
 

Figure 105. 
 Vendor Summary Indices (Accenture to MCI) — Monthly
 

Figure 106. 
 Vendor Summary Indices (Microsoft to Xerox) — Monthly
 

Figure 107. 
 Overall and Sector Indices — Monthly
 

Figure 108. 
 Product Indices — Hardware — Monthly
 

Figure 109. 
 Product Indices — Software — Monthly
 

Figure 110. 
 Product Indices — Networking and Telecommunications — Monthly
 

Figure 111. 
 Product Indices — IT Services — Monthly
 

Figure 112. 
 Vendor Indices for Servers — Monthly
 

Figure 113. 
 Vendor Indices for Desktops — Monthly
 

Figure 114. 
 Vendor Indices for Notebooks — Monthly
 

Figure 115. 
 Vendor Indices for Handhelds — Monthly
 

Figure 116. 
 Vendor Indices for Storage Hardware — Monthly
 

Figure 117. 
 Vendor Indices for Input/Output Devices — Monthly
 

Figure 118. 
 Vendor Indices for Security Hardware — Monthly
 

Figure 119. 
 Vendor Indices for Tablet PCs — Monthly
 

Figure 120. 
 Vendor Indices for Back-Office Software — Monthly
 

Figure 121. 
 Vendor Indices for Collaborative/Personal Software — Monthly
 

Figure 122. 
 Vendor Indices for Front-Office Software — Monthly
 

Figure 123. 
 Vendor Indices for Application Development Software — Monthly
 

Figure 124. 
 Vendor Indices for Information Management Software — Monthly
 

Figure 125. 
 Vendor Indices for Systems Software — Monthly
 

Figure 126. 
 Vendor Indices for Design/Engineering Software — Monthly
 

Figure 127. 
 Vendor Indices for Security Software — Monthly
 

Figure 128. 
 Vendor Indices for Network Equipment/Applications — Monthly
 

Figure 129. 
 Vendor Indices for Mobile Handsets — Monthly
 

Figure 130. 
 Vendor Indices for Mobile Services — Monthly
 

Figure 131. 
 Vendor Indices for Fixed Voice/Data Services — Monthly
 

Figure 132. 
 Vendor Indices for Hardware Maintenance/Support — Monthly
 

Figure 133. 
 Vendor Indices for Software Maintenance/Support — Monthly
 

Figure 134. 
 Vendor Indices for Consulting — Monthly
 

Figure 135. 
 Vendor Indices for Application Development/Integration Services — Monthly
 

Figure 136. 
 Vendor Indices for IT Management — Monthly
 

Figure 137. 
 Vendor Indices for Process Management — Monthly
 

Figure 138. 
 Vendor Indices for IT Training — Monthly
 

Figure 139. 
 Sample Breakdown by Vertical — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 140. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Services — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 141. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Manufacturing — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 142. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Education Services — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 143. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Financial Services — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 144. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Government (State, County, Local) — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 145. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Health Services — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 146. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Retail Trade — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 147. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Communications — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 148. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Agriculture, Mining and Construction — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 149. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Wholesale — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 150. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Government (Federal) — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 151. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Transportation — January Through August 2004
 

Figure 152. 
 Sample Breakdown by Subvertical — Utilities — January Through August 2004
 



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© 2004 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




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