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This research is provided for historical perspective;
portions of this document may not reflect current conditions.






Hype Cycle for Wireless Networking, 2005
29 June 2005
 
Phillip Redman   Rachna Ahlawat   Monica Basso   Paul Dittner   Ken Dulaney   Nick Jones   Jeff Woods   Patti A. Reali   David A. Willis   Nahoko Mitsuyama  

Wireless technologies are maturing. Over the past year, third-generation cellular technologies and radio frequency ID tags made the biggest moves along the Hype Cycle, but they remain far from the Plateau of Productivity.







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Table of Contents



1.0
    
The Hype Cycle

1.1
    
What's New on the Hype Cycle
1.2
    
Biggest Moves From Last Year
1.3
    
What's Off the Hype Cycle

2.0
    
On the Rise

2.1
    
Mobile Centrex
2.2
    
802.11r
2.3
    
High-Speed Uplink Packet Access
2.4
    
4G Standard
2.5
    
802.16e WIMAX
2.6
    
RFID Warehouse Management Systems
2.7
    
802.11n (Next-Generation WLAN)
2.8
    
CDMA2000 1xEV-DO Rel. A
2.9
    
802.15.4/ZigBee
2.10
    
802.11k
2.11
    
Unlicensed Mobile Access
2.12
    
IP Multimedia Subsystem

3.0
    
At the Peak

3.1
    
802.11e/WSM
3.2
    
High-Speed Downlink Packet Access
3.3
    
802.15.3a/Ultrawideband

4.0
    
Sliding Into the Trough

4.1
    
802.16 2004 WiMAX
4.2
    
Mesh Networks — Sensor
4.3
    
802.11e/WME
4.4
    
Mesh Networks — Wide Area
4.5
    
Point-to-Point Wireless Bridges
4.6
    
Next-Generation Satellite
4.7
    
CDMA2000 1xEV-DO
4.8
    
Location-Aware Technology
4.9
    
WCDMA/UMTS

5.0
    
Climbing the Slope

5.1
    
Enhanced Data for Global Evolution

6.0
    
Entering the Plateau

6.1
    
802.11i/WPA2
6.2
    
Bluetooth Cable Replacement
6.3
    
Wi-Fi Protected Access
6.4
    
Wi-Fi 802.11a/g

7.0
    
Off the Hype Cycle

7.1
    
Bluetooth Networking
7.2
    
CDMA2000 1xRTT
7.3
    
General Packet Radio Service
7.4
    
Wi-Fi 802.11b
7.5
    
Wi-Fi 802.11g

8.0
    
Appendix A: Previous Iteration of the Hype Cycle

9.0
    
Appendix B: Hype Cycle Phases, Benefit Ratings and Maturity Levels


List of Tables



Table 1.  
Hype Cycle Phases
 

Table 2.  
Benefit Ratings
 

Table 3.  
Maturity Levels
 

List of Figures



Figure 1. 
Hype Cycle for Wireless Networking, 2005
 

Figure 2. 
Hype Cycle for Wireless Networking, 2004
 



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Resource Id: 482387