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Hype Cycle for Telecommunications, 2005
12 July 2005
 
Venecia K Liu   Verne Anton   Norbert J. Scholz   Kathie Hackler   Bob Hafner   Phillip Redman   Geoff Johnson   Jouni Forsman   Bettina Tratz-Ryan   Patti A. Reali   Bern Elliot   Michael J. King   John S. Mazur   George J. Weiss   Jim Duggan   Rachna Ahlawat  

Telecom carriers face new competitive threats with the convergence of media. They need to examine technologies and services to enable differentiated services and distribution channels to generate additional revenue.







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Table of Contents


1.0
    
 The Hype Cycle

2.0
    
 On the Rise

2.1
    
 4G Wireless Technology
2.2
    
 802.16e WiMAX
2.3
    
 Content Protection/Digital Rights Management
2.4
    
 IMS
2.5
    
 IPTV

3.0
    
 At the Peak

3.1
    
 New-Generation Operation Systems and Software
3.2
    
 Unified Communications
3.3
    
 Video Telephony

4.0
    
 Sliding Into the Trough

4.1
    
 Cable VoIP
4.2
    
 Micropayments
4.3
    
 CDMA2000 1x EV DO
4.4
    
 Location "Aware" Services
4.5
    
 Enterprise WDM
4.6
    
 Unified Messaging
4.7
    
 Electronic Bill Presentment and Payment

5.0
    
 Climbing the Slope

5.1
    
 Linux Midtier Applications
5.2
    
 MPLS Services
5.3
    
 VoIP
5.4
    
 .NET Managed Code

6.0
    
 Entering the Plateau

6.1
    
 Wi-Fi 802.11 a/g

7.0
    
 Conclusions

8.0
    
 Appendix A: Previous Iteration of the Hype Cycle

9.0
    
 Appendix B: Hype Cycle Phases, Benefit Ratings and Maturity Levels


List of Tables


Table 1.  
 Hype Cycle Phases
 

Table 2.  
 Benefit Ratings
 

Table 3.  
 Maturity Levels
 

List of Figures


Figure 1. 
 Hype Cycle for Telecommunications, 2005
 

Figure 2. 
 Hype Cycle for Telecommunication Technologies, 2004
 



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