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Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2005
3 August 2005
 
Alexander Linden   Jackie Fenn   David W. McCoy   David W. Cearley   Nikos Drakos   Jim Tully   Monica Basso   Phillip Redman   Erik Dorr   Allen Weiner   Kenshi Tazaki   Ant Allan   Rafe John Graham Ball   Jim Sinur   Michael A. Silver   Martin Gilliland   Carl Claunch   Ray Valdes   Betsy Burton   Jeff Woods   Nick Jones   Jeffrey Mann   Whit Andrews   John Pescatore   Christophe Uzureau   Mary Knox   Rita E. Knox   Van L. Baker   Mike McGuire   Leslie Fiering   Christopher Ambrose   Steve Cramoysan   Bern Elliot   Bob Hafner   Yefim V. Natis   Benoit J. Lheureux   Howard J. Dresner   Mike Blechar   Brian Gammage   Mark A. Margevicius  

The Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies targets planners who advise their organizations on the adoption of emerging technologies. We feature 44 technologies that have great potential impact or that are being significantly hyped or underhyped in the marketplace.







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Table of Contents


1.0
    
 The Hype Cycle

2.0
    
 On the Rise

2.1
    
 DNA Logic
2.2
    
 Quantum Computing
2.3
    
 Networked Collective Intelligence
2.4
    
 Prediction Markets
2.5
    
 4G
2.6
    
 Corporate Semantic Web
2.7
    
 Business Process Platforms
2.8
    
 Augmented Reality
2.9
    
 Text Mining
2.10
    
 Podcasting
2.11
    
 Carbon Nanotubes
2.12
    
 Model-Driven Approaches

3.0
    
 At the Peak

3.1
    
 Electronic Ink/Digital Paper
3.2
    
 Inkjet Manufacturing
3.3
    
 P2P VoIP
3.4
    
 Biometric Identity Documents
3.5
    
 Business Process Management Suites
3.6
    
 Desktop Search

4.0
    
 Sliding Into the Trough

4.1
    
 Linux on Desktop for Mainstream Business Users
4.2
    
 Micro Fuel Cells
4.3
    
 Really Simple Syndication
4.4
    
 Biometric User Identification
4.5
    
 Grid Computing
4.6
    
 Corporate Blogging
4.7
    
 802.16-2004 WiMAX
4.8
    
 Wikis
4.9
    
 Organic Light-Emitting Devices
4.10
    
 Mesh Networks — Sensor
4.11
    
 Web-Services-Enabled Business Models
4.12
    
 Trusted Computing Groups
4.13
    
 Service-Oriented Architecture
4.14
    
 Internet Micropayments
4.15
    
 Tablet PCs
4.16
    
 XBRL
4.17
    
 Radio Frequency Identification (Passive)
4.18
    
 Videoconferencing

5.0
    
 Climbing the Slope

5.1
    
 Handwriting Recognition
5.2
    
 Application Service Providers/Software-as-a-Service
5.3
    
 Location-Aware Applications
5.4
    
 Business Rule Engines
5.5
    
 Voice Over Internet Protocol

6.0
    
 Entering the Plateau

6.1
    
 Speech Recognition for Telephony and Call Centers
6.2
    
 Text-to-Speech/Speech Synthesis
6.3
    
 Internal Web Services

7.0
    
 Appendix A: Previous Iteration of the Hype Cycle

8.0
    
 Appendix B: Hype Cycle Phases, Benefit Ratings and Maturity Levels


List of Tables


Table 1.  
 Hype Cycle Phases
 

Table 2.  
 Benefit Ratings
 

Table 3.  
 Maturity Levels
 

List of Figures


Figure 1. 
 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2005
 

Figure 2. 
 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2004
 



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© 2005 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner's research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




Resource Id: 484310