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This research is provided for historical perspective;
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Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies in China, 2006
24 August 2006
 
Jamie Popkin   Dion Wiggins   Ian A. Bertram   Sandy Shen   Kristian Steenstrup   Vincent Fu   Denise Ganly   Venecia K Liu   Joy Yang   Michele C. Caminos   TJ Singh   Tina T. Tang   Don Free   Rolf Jester   Robert L. Goodwin   Andrew Chetham   Kathie Hackler   Jouni Forsman   Bettina Tratz-Ryan   Tina Tian   Michael Maoz  

China made great progress internationally and domestically in terms of information and communications technology in 2005. Telecommunications, software infrastructure and IT services will continue to drive momentum in 2006.




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Table of Contents


1.0
    
 What You Need to Know

2.0
    
 The Hype Cycle

3.0
    
 The Priority Matrix

4.0
    
 On the Rise

4.1
    
 RFID (Asset)
4.2
    
 Business Process Outsourcing
4.3
    
 RFID Warehouse
4.4
    
 Complex Business Events
4.5
    
 VoIP Over WLAN
4.6
    
 802.16-2005 WiMAX
4.7
    
 Linux on Desktop for Mainstream Consumers
4.8
    
 IT Management
4.9
    
 Broadband IP Telephony Services

5.0
    
 At the Peak

5.1
    
 Business Process Management
5.2
    
 Smart ID Cards
5.3
    
 Digital TV
5.4
    
 IP Multimedia Subsystem
5.5
    
 Advanced Web Services
5.6
    
 IP Television
5.7
    
 Business Intelligence
5.8
    
 Application Platform Suites
5.9
    
 Core Banking Renewal
5.10
    
 Linux on Desktop for Mainstream Business Users
5.11
    
 Service-Oriented Architecture

6.0
    
 Sliding Into the Trough

6.1
    
 802.16-2004 WiMAX
6.2
    
 Broadband Internet
6.3
    
 Linux on Desktop for Data Entry Workers
6.4
    
 Consulting
6.5
    
 TD-SCDMA
6.6
    
 Data Warehousing
6.7
    
 Enterprise Portals
6.8
    
 HSDPA
6.9
    
 Consulting and Systems Integration for CRM Solutions
6.10
    
 CRM Implementation Services
6.11
    
 CRM
6.12
    
 Linux Midtier Applications
6.13
    
 WCDMA
6.14
    
 Application Development
6.15
    
 Rewriting ERP Code for the Web
6.16
    
 Smartphones
6.17
    
 Softswitch

7.0
    
 Climbing the Slope

7.1
    
 CDMA2000 1x EV-DO
7.2
    
 Product Support
7.3
    
 IP Enforcement
7.4
    
 .NET Adoption
7.5
    
 Systems Integration
7.6
    
 VoIP
7.7
    
 Basic Web Services
7.8
    
 IP Generation Reaching Levels of Developed Nations
7.9
    
 Wi-Fi Hot Spots
7.10
    
 MPLS Services
7.11
    
 Domestic Alternatives to Windows
7.12
    
 ERP
7.13
    
 Domestic Office Productivity Suites

8.0
    
 Entering the Plateau

8.1
    
 J2EE Adoption

9.0
    
 Appendices

9.1
    
 Previous Iteration of the Hype Cycle
9.2
    
 Hype Cycle Phases, Benefit Ratings and Maturity Levels


List of Tables


Table 1.  
 Hype Cycle Phases
 

Table 2.  
 Benefit Ratings
 

Table 3.  
 Maturity Levels
 

List of Figures


Figure 1. 
 Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies in China, 2006
 

Figure 2. 
 Priority Matrix for Emerging Technologies in China, 2006
 

Figure 3. 
 For Reference: Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies in China, 2005
 



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