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This research is provided for historical perspective;
portions of this document may not reflect current conditions.






Hype Cycle for Human-Computer Interaction, 2006
4 July 2006
 
Jackie Fenn   Steve Cramoysan   Bern Elliot   Toby Bell   Jim Davies   Ken Dulaney   Jim Tully   Rafe John Graham Ball   Jeffrey Mann   Lou Latham   Whit Andrews   Esteban Kolsky   Rich Costello   Donald A. Stuart   Anthony Kros   Leslie Fiering  

Be ready for major shifts in human-computer interaction in the 2010 to 2015 time frame. In the meantime, focus on specific applications with quantifiable value, such as speech recognition in the call center.







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Table of Contents



    
Analysis

1.0
    
What You Need to Know
2.0
    
The Hype Cycle
3.0
    
The Priority Matrix
4.0
    
On the Rise

4.1
    
Computer-Brain Interface
4.2
    
Gaze Tracking
4.3
    
Retinal Displays
4.4
    
Chip Implants for Identification
4.5
    
Emotion Detection
4.6
    
Augmented Reality
4.7
    
Speech-to-Speech Translation
4.8
    
Telepresence
4.9
    
Gesture Recognition
4.10
    
Haptics
4.11
    
Wearable Computers
5.0
    
At the Peak

5.1
    
Speech Recognition for Mobile Devices
5.2
    
Digital Paper/E-Paper
6.0
    
Sliding Into the Trough

6.1
    
Desktop Video
6.2
    
Natural-Language Search
6.3
    
Intelligent Agents
6.4
    
Synthetic Characters/Chatterbots
6.5
    
Tablet PC
6.6
    
Virtual Reality
6.7
    
Speech Recognition for the Desktop
6.8
    
Digital Pens
6.9
    
Videoconferencing
7.0
    
Climbing the Slope

7.1
    
Handwriting Recognition
7.2
    
Machine Translation
7.3
    
Smartphone
8.0
    
Entering the Plateau

8.1
    
Speech Recognition for Telephony and Contact Center Applications
8.2
    
Text-to-Speech/Speech Synthesis
9.0
    
Off the Hype Cycle
10.0
    
Appendices

10.1
    
Previous Iteration of the Hype Cycle
10.2
    
Hype Cycle Phases, Benefit Ratings and Maturity Levels

    
Recommended Reading


List of Tables



Table 1.  
Hype Cycle Phases
 

Table 2.  
Benefit Ratings
 

Table 3.  
Maturity Levels
 

List of Figures



Figure 1. 
Hype Cycle for Human-Computer Interaction, 2006
 

Figure 2. 
Priority Matrix for Human-Computer Interaction, 2006
 

Figure 3. 
For Reference: Hype Cycle for Human-Computer Interaction, 2005
 



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Resource Id: 493218