Predicts 2003: Telecommunications




When will telecom recover? It is the biggest question looming over this battered industry. The storm rocking telecom began in 2000, blew hard during 2001 and continued to batter during 2002. Carriers and vendors that entered the market this year, hopeful that some sort of corner had been turned, found that the worst was yet to come — bankruptcy, closure and drastic downsizing have been familiar companions of the industry all year.   Read more







Andrew Chetham
Senior Analyst
Gartner Research







Telecommunications: Boom, Bust, What\'s Next?


Telecommunications: Boom, Bust, What's Next?
6 December 2002
Dean Eyers 

The telecommunications and networking market suffered badly in 2002. Some sectors will bounce back in 2003, but others will not recover before 2004.





4Q02 Update: IT Telecom Forecast Scenarios, 2001-2004
2 December 2002
Dean Eyers  Wm. L. Hahn 
The telecommunications and networking equipment and services market forecast has been revised significantly downward in the face of further negative market and economic developments.



Telecommunications Services Limp Along in 2003
26 November 2002
Alex Winogradoff 
The length of the economic weakness will stunt growth in fixed public network services because of continuing weakness in voice revenue. The worldwide market will barely exceed $700 billion by year-end 2004.




Enterprises Keeping It Together (Barely)
2 December 2002
Terry Wright  Jeffrey Snyder  Severine Real  Drew Kraus 
While the enterprise segment appears to be weathering this storm better than others, customers still demand compelling financial justification for every IT decision.



Continuing Weakness in Public Infrastructure Markets
6 December 2002
Tim Smith 
The markets for public infrastructure equipment will remain weak until 2004 because of scaled-back carrier capital spending, sporadic overcapacity, and uncertain regulatory and competitive initiatives.




Many Challenges Remain for Mobile Communications
5 December 2002
Tole Hart  Bryan Prohm  Delia MacMillan  Jason Chapman 
The marketplace for mobile services, terminals and infrastructure has been affected by the economic slowdown and the high cost and minimal return on investment in 2.5G and 3G network launches.