Through 2020, an increasing percentage of annual IT spending will be directly or indirectly impacted by a cloud shift, making cloud computing one of the most disruptive forces in IT markets since the early days of the digital age.
When organizations are faced with IT spending decisions, the consideration of using cloud services for new initiatives, or to replace existing systems, causes a shift in spending from traditional IT solutions to cloud. This results in the cloud shift, and it is happening more often due to a “cloud-first” direction most organizations take when making IT spending decisions.
Cloud shift is not just about cloud.
“This cloud-first orientation will continue to increase the rate of cloud adoption and, consequently, cloud shift,” said Ed Anderson, research vice president. “The rate of cloud shift will be different based on the dynamics of each market segment.”
For example, Gartner’s latest IT spending forecast shows that spending on data center systems is forecast to be $175 billion in 2017, growing to $181 billion through 2020. In contrast, spending on cloud system infrastructure services (IaaS) will grow from $34 billion in 2017 to $71 billion through 2020. By the end of 2020, spending on IaaS will equate to 39 percent of total spending on data center systems.
“Cloud shift is not just about cloud. As organizations pursue new IT architectures and operating philosophies, they become prepared for new opportunities in digital business, including next-generation IT solutions such as the Internet of Things (IoT),” said Mr. Anderson. “Organizations embracing dynamic, cloud-based operating models position themselves for cost optimization and increased competitiveness.”
For these reasons, technology and service providers must be aggressive in recognizing and exploiting IT spending shifts to capture the revenue opportunities of the future — and manage revenue of the past.
Cloud shift is not necessarily inevitable, but trends indicate a preference for cloud services in most situations.
“Providers of all types must ensure they remain vigilant and proactive in pursuing new cloud-related growth opportunities, while divesting businesses that will become materially impacted by cloud shift,” said Mr. Anderson. “Providers that do not manage this change aggressively and proactively will become victims of cloud shift and diminish their ability to compete for the new cloud-based solution opportunities.”
Cloud shift represents both risk and opportunity. During this period of market disruption, strategic planners should carefully watch the impact of cloud shift on traditional businesses. Cloud shift is not necessarily inevitable, but trends indicate a preference for cloud services in most situations.
Gartner Cloud Hub
Visit the Gartner Cloud Hub for complimentary research and webinars.
Gartner clients can read more in “Predicts 2017: IT Services Market Opportunities Expand in the Digital Era.”
Additional analysis will be presented during the complimentary webinar “IT Spending Forecast, 1Q17 Update: Vendor Reactions to Market Concentration,” taking place April 11 at 11 a.m. ET. During the webinar, Gartner analysts will explain the emergence of new vendors in existing markets, the shifts resulting from new offerings like cloud, and the toppling of the largest vendors and the impact on IT spending.
Tech Growth & Innovation Summit 2017
Additional analysis on tech provider trends will be provided at Gartner Tech Growth & Innovation Conference 2017, taking place June 19-21 in Huntington Beach, CA. Follow news and updates from the event on Twitter using #GartnerTGI.
Infrastructure, Operations & Data Center Summits 2017
Cloud trends will also be discussed at the Gartner IT Infrastructure, Operations & Data Center Summits 2017 in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Mexico City, Mumbai, India, Sydney, Australia, and at the Gartner Data Center, Infrastructure and Operations Management Summit in London and Las Vegas. Follow news and updates from these events on Twitter using #GartnerDC.