Windows Vista Unlikely to Ship Before 2Q07

G00139575

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Summary

Microsoft's track record is clear; it consistently misses target dates for major operating system releases. We don't expect broad availability of Windows Vista until at least 2Q07, which is nine to 12 months after Beta 2.

Table of Contents

  • Analysis
    • Why We Think Windows Vista Will Be Later Than Microsoft Says
      • Complexity
      • Application Compatibility
      • Not Enough Time for Beta 2 or Release Candidates
    • Marketing Challenges
      • Miss the Holidays, but Salvage the Fiscal 4Q07
    • Microsoft's Development Team Has Faith in Schedule
    • Advice for Organizations
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