Gartner Research

Strategic Planning Assumptions for IAM, 2011 to 2015

Published: 29 March 2011

ID: G00211308

Analyst(s): Earl Perkins

Summary

A major change is coming for the identity and access management market. IAM planners and architects must prepare for new, additional choices in IAM delivery.

Table Of Contents
  • Overview

What You Need to Know

Analysis

  • IAM Purchasing and Projects
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: By 2015, 65% of enterprises buying IAM suites will choose a suite because of the "inertia" of existing vendor relationships, not for technology reasons — up from 25% in 2011.
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: High IAM costs and market consolidation will drive open-source and low-cost alternatives to be used in some capacity in 25% of all new IAM projects by year-end 2013, compared with less than 10% in 2011.
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: By 2014, half of all new IAM implementations will take, on average, 20% less time, and be 20% less expensive than those in 2011, due to program maturity and increased competition.
  • Cloud Computing and IAM
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: Hybrid IAM deployments of software and services (e.g., hosted IAM and IAM as a service) for all enterprises will increase from less than 5% in 2011 to 35% in 2015.
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: The market for solutions that manage identity and access for enterprise and cloud IAM in an integrated and transparent fashion will grow tenfold by 2015, from less than $5 million in 2011 to more than $50 million.
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: IAM-as-a-service solutions will account for 20% of all new IAM sales by the end of 2012, compared with less than 5% in 2011.
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: By 2015, one out of three IAM solution providers will be new to the IAM market, predominantly in managed, hosted and cloud-based services.
  • IAI
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: Identity and access intelligence solutions and IAI feature sets in broader IAM solutions will drive 25% of new IAM-related purchase decisions by year-end 2013, up from less than 5% in 2011.
    • Strategic Planning Assumption: By year-end 2014, one-third of personnel using and supporting IAM will be involved with collecting, analyzing, and delivering identity and access intelligence, compared with less than one full-time equivalent in 2011.

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