Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: x86 Server Virtualization, Worldwide, 3Q12 Update

Published: 08 November 2012

ID: G00238945

Analyst(s): Jennifer Wu , Matthew Cheung

Summary

Virtualized x86 servers (excluding hosted virtual desktops) will grow from nearly 11% of total server shipments in 2011 to 18% in 2016, while servers running HVD workloads will grow from 1.8% in 2011 to 3.3% in 2016. HVD workload growth will outpace other workload growth due to increasing adoption.

Table Of Contents

Assumptions

  • Economic Assumptions
  • Technology Assumptions

Analysis

  • Virtualized OS Instances Will Have a 24% CAGR, With Higher VM Density
  • HVD Workload Growth Will Outpace Other Workload Growth
  • Virtualized Server Shipment and VM Density
  • Virtual Server OS Instances Will Grow Faster in Emerging Markets

Market Model

  • Forecast Methodology
  • Forecast Components
    • Server Revenue Forecast
    • Server Unit Shipment Forecast
    • Server ASP Forecast
  • Factors
    • Macroeconomic, Geopolitical, Demographic, Lifestyle and Cultural
    • Technology Assumptions
    • Organic Growth
    • New Usage Types
    • Product Life Cycles
    • Replacement Demand
    • New Penetration Demand
    • Installed Base Estimates
    • Product Migration
    • Server Product Mix
    • Exchange Rates
  • Connections
    • Economic/Technology Assumptions > Product Life Cycles > Installed Base > Replacement Demand
    • Economic/Technology Assumptions > Organic Growth/New Usage Types > New Penetration Demand
    • Exchange Rates > Server ASPs
    • Replacement Demand/New Penetration Demand > Server Shipment Forecast
    • Product Migration/New Penetration Demand > Server Product Mix

Recommended Reading

©2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner’s prior written permission. It consists of the opinions of Gartner’s research organization, which should not be construed as statements of fact. While the information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner research may address legal and financial issues, Gartner does not provide legal or investment advice and its research should not be construed or used as such. Your access and use of this publication are governed by Gartner’s Usage Policy. Gartner prides itself on its reputation for independence and objectivity. Its research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from any third party. For further information, see Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity.

Already have a Gartner Account?

Purchase this Document

To purchase this document, you will need to register or sign in above

Become a client

Learn how to access this content as a Gartner client.