Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: Mobile Phones, Tablets and Consumer Electronics, Worldwide, 2012-2016, 4Q12 Update

Published: 08 January 2013

ID: G00245271

Analyst(s): Michele Reitz , Amy Teng

Summary

Macroeconomic conditions worsened in 4Q12, causing Gartner to lower the worldwide semiconductor revenue forecast to $297.6 billion for 2012 and $310.9 billion for 2013. Smartphones and media tablets will contribute 84% of semiconductor revenue growth in 2013 and are the segments to watch.

Table Of Contents

Assumptions

  • General Assumptions and Forecast Updates, 4Q12
    • Digital STBs
    • LCD TVs
    • Media Tablets
    • Mobile Phones
    • Video Game Consoles

Analysis

  • Segmentation Updates Since Our 3Q12 Forecast
    • Changes in Unit Production by Application, 2012-2016
    • Equipment Categorization Changes
  • Forecast Update and Analysis for 4Q12
    • Digital STB Boxes
    • LCD TVs
    • Media Tablets
    • Mobile Phones
    • Video Game Consoles

Market Model

  • Forecast Components
    • Electronic Equipment Unit Production
    • Semiconductor Device Unit Content
    • Semiconductor Device ASPs
  • Influencing Factors
    • Channel Demand and End-Market Demand
    • Enterprise Budgets and Spending
    • Consumer Spending
    • System Design and Functional Integration
    • Features and Functions
    • Supply Versus Demand and Cost Reduction
    • R&D Spending
    • Capital Spending
  • Connections
    • Enterprise Budgets and Spending > Channel/End-Market Demand
    • Consumer Spending > Channel/End-Market Demand
    • Features and Functions > System Design
    • Device and Package Design > Functional Integration
    • Technology Node > Functional Integration
    • Device and Package Design > Features and Functions
    • Technology Node > Cost Reduction
    • Capital Spending > Manufacturing Utilization

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