Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: Semiconductors, Worldwide, 2011-2016, 4Q12 Update

Published: 11 January 2013

ID: G00247525

Analyst(s): Bryan Lewis , Peter Middleton

Summary

The 2012 revenue forecast is reduced to a 3.0% decline from 2011, with semiconductor revenue of $298 billion. In 2013, revenue will grow 4.5% year over year after a weak start. In 2014, growth will be higher, at 9.9%. The compound annual growth rate through 2016 will be 4.1%.

Table Of Contents

Assumptions

  • Electronic Equipment Unit Production
    • Data Processing — Compute Equipment Categorization
    • PCs
    • Mobile Phones
    • Media Tablets
    • SSDs
    • LCD TVs
    • Automotive
    • Other Significant Changes to the Electronics Forecast
  • Semiconductor Device Unit Content
    • Features and Functions
    • Semiconductor Device and Package Design
  • Semiconductor Device ASP
    • Supply and Demand
  • Semiconductor Device-Level Assumptions
    • General-Purpose
    • Application-Specific

Analysis

  • Industry Overview
  • Updates Since Our 3Q12 Forecast
  • Semiconductor Device Revenue and Growth
  • Semiconductor Application Revenue and Growth
  • Semiconductor Device-Level Detail
    • General-Purpose
    • Application-Specific

Market Model

  • Forecast Components
    • Electronic Equipment Unit Production
    • Semiconductor Device Unit Content
    • Semiconductor Device ASPs
    • Influencing Factors
  • Connections
    • Enterprise Budgets and Spending > Channel/End-Market Demand
    • Consumer Spending > Channel/End-Market Demand
    • Features and Functions > System Design
    • Device and Package Design > Functional Integration
    • Technology Node > Functional Integration
    • Device and Package Design > Features and Functions
    • Technology Node > Cost Reduction
    • Capital Spending > Manufacturing Utilization

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