Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: Mobile Connections by Technology, Worldwide, 2010-2017

Published: 13 September 2013

ID: G00247533

Analyst(s): Jessica Ekholm , Brian Blau, Elia San Miguel, Sylvain Fabre , Shalini Verma, Bruno Lakehal , Atsuro Sato, Stephanie Baghdassarian

Summary

Long Term Evolution will grow from 1% of all connections in 2012 to 13% in 2017. Communications service providers need to figure out how they can efficiently launch LTE networks and offer compelling data pricing for maximum uptake.

Table Of Contents

Analysis

  • The Future of LTE
    • Changes Since the Last Forecast
    • Notable Regional Trends
  • The Importance of 3G
    • Changes to the Last Forecast
    • Notable Regional Trends
  • The Longevity of 2G
    • Changes to Last Forecast
    • Notable Regional Trends

Assumptions

  • LTE Network Service Coverage Will Move From 10% in 2012 to a High 45% by the end of 2017, Globally
    • National Regulators and Governments Making new Spectrum Bands Available to Service Providers
    • The Inclination and Speed of CSPs Rolling out new Networks After Acquiring the Necessary Spectrum Bands
  • Worldwide Adoption of LTE services Will Grow Fast From 1% to 13% From 2012 to 2017
    • The Availability of new Devices That Support Newer and Faster Networks Will Help Create Demand for Higher-Speed Services
    • The Level, Intensity and Clarity of CSPs' Marketing of new Technology
  • From 2015 Onwards, the Price Differentiation Between a 3G and an LTE Service Will Drop to Less Than 5%
  • By 2014, LTE Devices Will Reach the $150 Price Point, Increasing Affordability for Mass-Market Uptake of LTE Services

Market Model

  • Forecast Components
    • Mobile Connections
    • Mobile Connections by Technology
    • Influencing Factors

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