Gartner Research

Maverick* Research: Surviving the Rise of 'Smart Machines,' the Loss of 'Dream Jobs' and '90% Unemployment'

Published: 23 September 2013

ID: G00253498

Analyst(s): Anurag Gupta , Kenneth Brant , Dan Sommer

Summary

CIOs must change their mission to address the proliferation of smart machines in a widening range of jobs, including knowledge work, and causing increasing levels of unemployment. (Maverick research deliberately exposes unconventional thinking and may not agree with Gartner's official positions.)

Table Of Contents

Analysis

  • *Maverick Research
  • Introduction and Summary
  • Key Issue No. 1 — How Will Smart Machines Impact My Business and IT Function Through the Remainder of This Decade?
    • Strategic Planning Assumption
    • Digitization Meets the Workforce — Smart Machines Are the Next Major Technology Market
    • Transitional Scenarios — How Smart Machines Will Develop Through 2020
    • Signposts Point to Major Impacts of Smart Machines in This Decade
    • Smart Machines and the Specter of Destructive Creation
  • Key Issue No. 2 — What Are the Applications and Impacts of Smart Machines Among Highly Skilled Specialist Occupations, and What Particular Jobs Are at Risk for Substitution?
    • Strategic Planning Assumption
    • Dream Jobs at Risk
    • Where Is the Change Occurring?
    • What Will This Lead To?
  • Key Issue No. 3 — 2030 and Beyond: What Are the Political, Social, Economic and People Ramifications of 90% Job Replacement?
    • Societal Crisis
    • Postcrisis, Toward 90% Job Replacement
    • Strategic Planning Assumption
    • Role of Smart Machines in Society
  • Conclusion
  • Appendixes
    • Appendix 1 — Signal Events That Demonstrate the Rapid Pace and Broad Scope of Smart Machine Market Development
    • Appendix 2 — Defining Characteristics of the Four Worlds Based on Societal Variables

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