Gartner Research

Maverick* Research: Surviving the Rise of 'Smart Machines,' the Loss of 'Dream Jobs' and '90% Unemployment'

Published: 23 September 2013

ID: G00253498

Analyst(s): Anurag Gupta , Kenneth Brant , Dan Sommer


CIOs must change their mission to address the proliferation of smart machines in a widening range of jobs, including knowledge work, and causing increasing levels of unemployment. (Maverick research deliberately exposes unconventional thinking and may not agree with Gartner's official positions.)

Table Of Contents


  • *Maverick Research
  • Introduction and Summary
  • Key Issue No. 1 — How Will Smart Machines Impact My Business and IT Function Through the Remainder of This Decade?
    • Strategic Planning Assumption
    • Digitization Meets the Workforce — Smart Machines Are the Next Major Technology Market
    • Transitional Scenarios — How Smart Machines Will Develop Through 2020
    • Signposts Point to Major Impacts of Smart Machines in This Decade
    • Smart Machines and the Specter of Destructive Creation
  • Key Issue No. 2 — What Are the Applications and Impacts of Smart Machines Among Highly Skilled Specialist Occupations, and What Particular Jobs Are at Risk for Substitution?
    • Strategic Planning Assumption
    • Dream Jobs at Risk
    • Where Is the Change Occurring?
    • What Will This Lead To?
  • Key Issue No. 3 — 2030 and Beyond: What Are the Political, Social, Economic and People Ramifications of 90% Job Replacement?
    • Societal Crisis
    • Postcrisis, Toward 90% Job Replacement
    • Strategic Planning Assumption
    • Role of Smart Machines in Society
  • Conclusion
  • Appendixes
    • Appendix 1 — Signal Events That Demonstrate the Rapid Pace and Broad Scope of Smart Machine Market Development
    • Appendix 2 — Defining Characteristics of the Four Worlds Based on Societal Variables

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