Gartner Research

Market Trends: 3D NAND — A Parallel Effort With Limited Traction Until 2015

Published: 16 October 2013

ID: G00255864

Analyst(s): Dean Freeman, Brady Wang, Joseph Unsworth

Summary

NAND devices are reaching their electrical and manufacturing limits, so OEM customers will need alternative technologies, such as the proposed 3D NAND. Although 3D NAND will begin ramping up in 2014, full industry adoption will likely be limited until at least 2015.

Table Of Contents

Introduction

Market Trends

  • Market: Exploring Economical and Scalable Approaches to Cost Reductions
  • Technology: The 2D-to-3D Migration Imperative
  • Market Structure: Moving in Multiple Directions
    • Application Perspective

Contrarian View: If Bit Density and Reduced Costs Are Not Realized, Industry Could Bypass 3D NAND

  • Reasons 3D NAND May Underperform Expectations

Vendors to Watch

Conclusions

Gartner Recommended Reading

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