Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: Carrier Network Infrastructure, Worldwide, 4Q13 Update

Published: 11 December 2013

ID: G00259645

Analyst(s): Sylvain Fabre , Akshay K. Sharma, Deborah Kish, Ian Keene

Summary

According to Gartner's 4Q13 forecast update, spending on carrier network infrastructure grew 3.2% in 2013 to $80.5 billion. Moderate growth (5.5% on average) is expected to 2017, driven largely by LTE rollouts, as CSPs find better ways to provision communications services via SDN and NFV.

Table Of Contents

Analysis

  • Trends in Technology
    • Long Term Evolution and Small Cells
    • Software-Defined Networks and Network Functions Virtualization
  • Pricing and Unit Shipments

Assumptions

  • LTE Delays Push Market Saturation to Later Than Anticipated
  • Fiber to the Home Continues to Dominate the Access Market
  • Sources of Growth in VSCA Markets Remain Unchanged
  • Exit of Traditional Switching Stalls From Dependency on Circuit Switch Fallback
  • High Capacity Optical Packet Networks Are Gaining Momentum
  • SDN Transformation Affects SPRS Initially
  • Global Economic Highlights From Global Insight

Market Model

  • Forecast Output Results
    • Regional Top-Down Segment Models
    • Regional Bottom-Up Segment Models
    • Fixed and Mobile Network Country Models
    • Forecast Components
    • Influencing Factors

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