Gartner Research

Global Security Futures: Architectural Implications of Gartner's Security 2020 Scenario

Published: 17 December 2013

ID: G00258933

Analyst(s): Eric Maiwald, Trent Henry, Heidi L. Wachs, Ben Tomhave


Macro changes in attack targets and threats to the enterprise, as well as the IT delivery model, are shaping the risk and security landscape over the next decade. Visibility into these anticipated changes help technical professionals plan for the architectural implications for future practices.

Table Of Contents


Gartner's Security 2020 Scenario

  • Scenario Introduction
  • Scenario 1: Regulated Risk
    • Present-Day Evidence
    • Leading Indicators
  • Scenario 2: Coalition Rule
    • Present-Day Evidence
    • Leading Indicators
  • Scenario 3: Controlling Parent
    • Present-Day Evidence
    • Leading Indicators
  • Scenario 4: Neighborhood Watch
    • Present-Day Evidence
    • Leading Indicators


  • Architectural Implications of the Four Scenarios
    • Implications by Scenario
    • Implications by Topic
  • Employ a Hedging Strategy
  • Expect Fragmentation
  • Proactively Leverage Alliances Where Possible
  • Evolve to a Hybrid Defensive Model
  • Adopt, Mature and Align Formal Risk Management Practices
  • Embrace the Federated-by-Default World
  • Proactively Adopt Pragmatic Practices That Scale


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