Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: Mobile Services, Worldwide, 1Q14 Update

Published: 21 March 2014

ID: G00261075

Analyst(s): Shalini Verma, Atsuro Sato, Stephanie Baghdassarian, Brian Blau, Jessica Ekholm, Bruno Lakehal

Summary

In 2018, mobile connections will grow to 8.2 billion and mobile services revenue will reach $1.3 trillion (in constant U.S. dollars). China shows signs of a slowdown in new connections growth as CSPs are starting to focus on 3G migration in rural areas to protect their profit margins.

Table Of Contents

Analysis

  • Changes Made in the 1Q14 Forecast and Analysis

Assumptions

  • Network Coverage — Network Upgrade
  • Multi-SIM, Data Card and Connected Device Ownership
  • Consumer and Enterprise Spending
  • CSP Marketing and Pricing Strategies
  • Regulatory Impact

Market Model

  • Forecast Components
    • Mobile Connections
    • ARPU
  • Influencing Factors

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