Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: Carrier Network Infrastructure, Worldwide, 1Q14 Update

Published: 31 March 2014

ID: G00260724

Analyst(s): Ian Keene, Deborah Kish, Akshay K. Sharma, Sylvain Fabre

Summary

The overall market size for carrier infrastructure has been reduced slightly compared to our 4Q13 update, due to the struggle to revive the economy. There is some positive offset due to increased growth in LTE.

Table Of Contents

Analysis

  • Trends in Technology
    • LTE and Small Cells
    • VoLTE and IMS
    • SDNs and NFV
  • CSPs and Security
  • Pricing and Unit Shipments
  • CSP Consolidation and Network Sharing

Assumptions

  • LTE Delays Push Market Saturation to Later Than Anticipated
  • Data Traffic Growth and the Desire to Improve the Subscriber Experience Drives Growth in Small Cells
  • FTTH Leads the Broadband Access Equipment Market While Other Fixed Access Remains Steady or Becomes Niche
  • 100 Gbps Transport Gaining Momentum
  • Sources of Growth in VSCA Markets Remain Unchanged
  • Exit of Traditional Switching Speeds Up in Response to Regulatory Leniency
  • NFV Becomes a Reality, With SDN Initially Coming Into the SPRS Market to Follow
  • Global Economic Highlights and Outlook From Global Insight

Market Model

  • Forecast Output Results
    • Regional Top-Down Segment Models
    • Regional Bottom-Up Segment Models
    • Fixed and Mobile Network Country Models
    • Forecast Components
    • Influencing Factors

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