Gartner Research

Applying Lessons From 20 Years of Hype Cycles to Your Own Innovation and Forecasting Strategies

Published: 16 September 2014

ID: G00269298

Analyst(s): Jackie Fenn


With a new wave of technology advancement driving digital business transformation, IT leaders must design their organization's technology tracking and adoption activities to account for four timeless principles of technology progress.

Table Of Contents
  • Key Challenges



  • Principle 1: Technologies Progress in Bursts or Saccades, Rather Than a Smooth and Even Path
  • Principle 2: The Four Predictable Obstacles to Progress Are a Lack of Performance, Infrastructure/Ecosystem, User Acceptance or ROI
  • Principle 3: Technology Silos Continually Expand and Periodically Merge With Other Fields
  • Principle 4: Public Amazement at a New Technology Never Survives Mainstream Adoption
  • Appendix

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