Gartner Research

Forecast Overview: Semiconductors, Worldwide, 2015 Update

Published: 08 June 2015

ID: G00274005

Analyst(s): Bob Johnson , Michele Reitz, Ganesh Ramamoorthy, Adriana Blanco, Andrew Norwood , Brady Wang, Joseph Unsworth , Steve Ohr, Masao Kuniba, Martin Reynolds , Sergis Mushell, Amy Teng


The semiconductor industry grows based on building faster, smaller and cheaper transistors. With fab costs continuing to rise, only a few manufacturers can afford this — which has led to the rise of the fabless semiconductor industry.

Table Of Contents
  • Overview
  • Companion Documents

Market Description

  • Major Semiconductor Device Markets
  • Changing Market Demand Drivers
  • Rise of the Fabless Vendors
  • Merger and Acquisition Activity
  • Cost of Advanced Technology Drives Up Fab Costs
  • Technology Development Creates New Markets
  • Memory Industry Cycles Will Remain but Be Less Pronounced

Foundational Assumptions

  • Analog
  • Discrete
  • Memory
    • DRAM
    • NAND Flash
  • Microcomponents
    • Microprocessors
    • Microcontrollers
  • General-Purpose Logic
    • Display Drivers
    • Field-Programmable Gate Array (FPGA)/Programmable Logic Devices (PLDs)
  • Optoelectronics
    • CMOS Image Sensor
    • Other Optoelectronics
  • Nonoptical Sensors
  • Application-Specific Integrated Circuit
  • Application-Specific Standard Product

Market Model or Methodology

  • Forecast Components
    • Electronic Equipment Unit Production
    • Semiconductor Device Unit Content
    • Semiconductor Device ASPs
    • Influencing Factors
  • Connections
    • Enterprise and Consumer Spending > Channel and End-Market Demand
    • Features and Functions > System Design
    • Device and Package Design > Functional Integration
    • Technology Node > Device and Package Design > Functional Integration
    • Device and Package Design > Features and Functions
    • Technology Node > Cost Reduction
    • Capital Spending > Manufacturing Utilization

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