Gartner Research

Forecast Overview: Semiconductors, Worldwide, 2015 Update

Published: 08 June 2015

ID: G00274005

Analyst(s): Bob Johnson, Michele Reitz, Ganesh Ramamoorthy, Adriana Blanco, Andrew Norwood, Brady Wang, Joseph Unsworth, Steve Ohr, Masao Kuniba, Martin Reynolds, Sergis Mushell, Amy Teng

Summary

The semiconductor industry grows based on building faster, smaller and cheaper transistors. With fab costs continuing to rise, only a few manufacturers can afford this — which has led to the rise of the fabless semiconductor industry.

Table Of Contents
  • Overview
  • Companion Documents

Market Description

  • Major Semiconductor Device Markets
  • Changing Market Demand Drivers
  • Rise of the Fabless Vendors
  • Merger and Acquisition Activity
  • Cost of Advanced Technology Drives Up Fab Costs
  • Technology Development Creates New Markets
  • Memory Industry Cycles Will Remain but Be Less Pronounced

Foundational Assumptions

  • Analog
  • Discrete
  • Memory
    • DRAM
    • NAND Flash
  • Microcomponents
    • Microprocessors
    • Microcontrollers
  • General-Purpose Logic
    • Display Drivers
    • Field-Programmable Gate Array (FPGA)/Programmable Logic Devices (PLDs)
  • Optoelectronics
    • CMOS Image Sensor
    • Other Optoelectronics
  • Nonoptical Sensors
  • Application-Specific Integrated Circuit
  • Application-Specific Standard Product

Market Model or Methodology

  • Forecast Components
    • Electronic Equipment Unit Production
    • Semiconductor Device Unit Content
    • Semiconductor Device ASPs
    • Influencing Factors
  • Connections
    • Enterprise and Consumer Spending > Channel and End-Market Demand
    • Features and Functions > System Design
    • Device and Package Design > Functional Integration
    • Technology Node > Device and Package Design > Functional Integration
    • Device and Package Design > Features and Functions
    • Technology Node > Cost Reduction
    • Capital Spending > Manufacturing Utilization

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