Gartner Research

Forecast Overview: Semiconductor Capital Spending and Wafer-Level Manufacturing Equipment, Worldwide, 2015

Published: 17 June 2015

ID: G00272326

Analyst(s): Jim Walker, Bob Johnson

Summary

Semiconductor capital spending and the wafer manufacturing equipment market are moving into a period of slow but steady growth, with minor cyclical variations, for the next five years. Challenges facing the industry are managing increasing production costs while continuing to drive down chip costs.

Table Of Contents
  • Overview
  • Companion Documents

Market Description

  • Capital Intensity
  • Concentration of Capital Spenders
  • Industry Capacity Growth
  • Cost of Advanced Technology Drives Fab Costs Higher
  • Number of New Production Fabs
  • Capital Spending by Wafer Size
  • Moore's Law

Foundational Assumptions

  • Macroeconomic
  • Semiconductor Device/Inventory Forecast
  • New and Upgrade Fab and Back-End Capacity Requirements
  • Technology Roadmap
  • Wafer Fab Equipment Capabilities/Costs

Market Model or Methodology

  • Forecast Components
    • Capital Spending Forecast
    • Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment Forecast
  • Influencing Factors
    • Macroeconomy
    • Electronic Equipment Forecast
    • Semiconductor Device Demand
  • Technology Roadmap
    • Unit Demand by Technology
    • Wafer Demand by Technology
    • Existing Wafer Fab Capacity by Technology
    • Existing Assembly/Test Capacity by Technology
    • Wafer Fab and Assembly/Test Capacity Utilization
    • Production Requirements by Device Type
    • New and Upgrade Fab and Assembly/Test Capacity Requirements
    • Wafer Fab and Assembly/Test Capabilities/Costs
  • Connections
    • Semiconductor Device Demand > Unit Demand > Wafer Demand > Production Requirements
    • Existing Wafer Fab and Assembly/Test Capacity, Wafer and Unit Demand > Capacity Utilization
    • Capacity Utilization, Production Requirements > New/Upgrade Fab and Assembly/Test Capacity Requirements, Wafer Fab and Assembly/Test Equipment Capabilities/Costs > Capital Spending Forecast > Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment Forecast

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