Gartner Research

Four Scenarios to Prepare for the Future of Upstream Oil and Gas

Published: 02 November 2015

ID: G00279656

Analyst(s): Rich McAvey


Upstream oil and gas companies face extreme levels of volatility, and traditional planning methods are overwhelmed. This research presents four scenarios for 2020, clarifying the business objectives, IT priorities and actions that CIOs must take to maintain business relevance as conditions change.

Table Of Contents


  • Background and Context
  • The Purpose of This Analysis
  • CIOs Are Facing Extreme Levels of Volatility and Must Adapt
    • Volatile Oil and Gas Markets
    • Volatility From Digital Technology Adoption
  • 2020 Scenarios for Upstream Oil and Gas
    • The Focal Issue
    • Introducing the Scenarios
    • The Survivor Scenario
    • The Oil Baron Scenario
    • The Digital Wildcat Scenario
    • The Optimizer Scenario
  • Next Steps
    • Recommendations for CIOs
    • Recommendations for Architects and IT Strategists
    • Recommendations for IT Leaders in Business Units
    • Recommendations for Infrastructure and Operations Leaders
    • Recommendations for Non-IT Executives
  • Conclusion

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