Gartner Research

Market Trends: What Will Be the Catalyst for 5G?

Published: 23 June 2016

ID: G00295672

Analyst(s): Sylvain Fabre , Stephanie Baghdassarian , Rishi Tejpal, Kosei Takiishi , Wm. L. Hahn , King-Yew Foong


As 4G matures, the telecom industry faces crucial questions about what will trigger the next-generation network. Strategic planners need to anticipate the possibilities outlined here to understand 5G timing and initial benefit.

Table Of Contents


  • The Driving Forces Are Revealed by History
  • Two Crucial Questions Illuminate Three Driving Scenarios

Market Trend

  • Scenario 1: Driven by New Services and Applications
    • Drivers of New 5G Services/Revenue
    • Challenges to New Services/Revenue
    • Implications for CSPs
  • Scenario 2: Driven by 4G Obsolescence
    • Drivers of 4G Obsolescence
    • Challenges to 4G Network Obsolescence
    • Implications for CSPs
  • Scenario 3: Driven by Cost Disruption
    • Cost Disruption Drivers of 5G
    • Challenges for 5G Cost Disruption
    • Implications for CSPs

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