Gartner Research

Use Scenarios to Plan for Autonomous Vehicle Adoption

Published: 26 June 2017

ID: G00324588

Analyst(s): James F. Hines, Michael Ramsey , Martin Birkner

Summary

Autonomous vehicle technology will have a significant impact on mobility and on the companies providing it. CIOs in automotive and smart mobility must understand and plan now for the different rollout scenarios, but put a dominant scenario at the heart of their planning.

Table Of Contents

Analysis

  • Introduction
  • Autonomous Driving — How Autonomous and When?
  • Key Forces Behind Scenarios for Autonomous Driving in 2025
  • Forces and Trends That Will Frame the Scenarios
    • Regulations
    • Consumer and Social Acceptance
    • Cost of Technology
    • Readiness of Technology
  • Four Scenarios
    • Experimental Transportation Scenario
    • Automated Logistics and Long Commute Scenario
    • Emerging Automation Scenario
    • Full Mixed Traffic Scenario

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