Gartner Research

China Summary Translation: 'Use Scenarios to Plan for Autonomous Vehicle Adoption'

Published: 23 March 2018

ID: G00350680

Analyst(s): Claire Wen, Michael Ramsey


Autonomous vehicle technology will have a significant impact on mobility and on the companies providing it. CIOs in automotive and smart mobility must understand and plan now for the different rollout scenarios, but put a dominant scenario at the heart of their planning.

Table Of Contents



Use Scenarios to Plan for Autonomous Vehicle Adoption

  • Key Findings
  • Recommendations


  • Introduction
  • Autonomous Driving — How Autonomous and When?
  • Key Forces Behind Scenarios for Autonomous Driving in 2025
  • Forces and Trends That Will Frame the Scenarios
    • Regulations
    • Consumer and Social Acceptance
    • Cost of Technology
    • Readiness of Technology
  • Four Scenarios
    • Experimental Transportation Scenario
    • Automated Logistics and Long Commute Scenario
    • Emerging Automation Scenario
    • Full Mixed Traffic Scenario

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