Gartner Research

Ignition Guide to Conducting Scenario Planning

Published: 30 August 2018

ID: G00704192

Analyst(s): Enterprise Architecture Research Team


Progressive EA groups are shifting their focus from traditional governance to supporting digital and business strategy. This guide helps EA and technology innovation leaders use scenario planning to improve strategic decision making and respond to emerging threats and opportunities.

Table Of Contents



Before You Start

Common Pitfalls and Keys to Success

Step 1 of 3: Identify Driving Forces and Critical Uncertainties


Step 2 of 3: Develop Scenarios and Define Corresponding Tripwires


Step 3 of 3: Facilitate Strategic Decision Making


Review Your Performance

Recommended by the Authors:

©2020 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates. This publication may not be reproduced or distributed in any form without Gartner’s prior written permission. It consists of the opinions of Gartner’s research organization, which should not be construed as statements of fact. While the information contained in this publication has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartner research may address legal and financial issues, Gartner does not provide legal or investment advice and its research should not be construed or used as such. Your access and use of this publication are governed by Gartner’s Usage Policy. Gartner prides itself on its reputation for independence and objectivity. Its research is produced independently by its research organization without input or influence from any third party. For further information, see Guiding Principles on Independence and Objectivity.

Already have a Gartner Account?

Become a client

Learn how to access this content as a Gartner client.