Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: IT Spending, Worldwide

Published: 16 May 2019

ID: G00382647

Analyst(s): April Adams, John-David Lovelock, Dean Blackmore, Ranjit Atwal, Hai Swinehart, Wm. L. Hahn, Neha Gupta, Adrian O'Connell

Summary

Worldwide IT spending growth in 2019 is 1.1% and 2.6%, respectively, for the 1Q19 forecast in U.S. dollar terms and in constant-currency terms. Currency fluctuations in 2019 caused the 2019 U.S. dollar growth to be revised down by 1.5%.

Table Of Contents
  • Forecast Assumptions
  • Market Impacts
  • Notable Changes

Forecast Data Summary

Influencing Factors and Assumptions

  • Influencing Factor: Data Compression
    • Forecast Assumption: Despite more widespread and intelligent deployment and utilization of data efficiency technologies, global enterprise storage needs will continue to expand at greater than 35% per year from 2018 through 2023.
  • Influencing Factor: DRAM Supply-and-Demand Sufficiency
    • Forecast Assumption: DRAM pricing is expected to see large, double-digit declines in 2019 before stabilizing in the fourth quarter.
  • Influencing Factor: Enterprise Network Equipment
    • Forecast Assumption: The average number of users supported per deployed wireless LAN (WLAN) AP will increase by approximately 20% to 30% through 2023.
  • Influencing Factor: Enterprise Application Software
  • Influencing Factor: Devices
    • Forecast Assumption: Seventy percent of the business installed base will have migrated to Windows 10 by the beginning of 2021.
    • Forecast Assumption: Premium phone lifetimes will increase from 2.58 years to 2.82 years through 2023.
  • Influencing Factor: IT Services
  • Influencing Factor: Communications Services

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