Gartner Information Technology Research

Higher Education Ecosystem 2030: Planning in the Face of Radical Uncertainty

Published: 22 November 2019

ID: G00407388

Analyst(s): Robert Yanckello, Terri-Lynn Thayer, Glenda Morgan, Jan-Martin Lowendahl


Disruptive forces are creating critical uncertainties for higher education. CIOs can navigate this radical change by leveraging Gartner’s 2030 higher education scenarios and use these plausible, but intentionally extreme, futures to prepare for a changing higher education ecosystem through 2030.

Table Of Contents


  • The Focal Issue: What Does the Higher Education Ecosystem Look Like in 2030?
  • The Driving Forces: The Axes
    • Credential Type
    • The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on the Future of Work

Research Highlights

  • Four Education Ecosystems
  • Scenario Commonalities and Differences
  • How to Use These Scenarios
    • Suggested Next Steps

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