Gartner Research

Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2004

Published: 30 July 2004

ID: G00121844

Analyst(s): Nikos Drakos , Stephen Smith , Bern Elliot , French Caldwell, Whit Andrews , Jim Tully, Yefim Natis , Alexander Linden , Mark Margevicius , Lou Latham, Michael J. King, Phillip Redman, Rafe John Graham Ball, Thomas Bittman , Nick Jones , Bob Hafner , Mary Knox, Frederique Makharine, John Davison, Jackie Fenn , Michael Silver , Ray Valdes, Ken Dulaney, Mark Raskino , Rita E. Knox, Leslie Fiering, David Mario Smith


The 37 technologies featured on this Hype Cycle will be the most transformational in their impact in the five- to 10-year time frame, or are noteworthy due to overhype or recent maturity.

Table Of Contents
  • Management Summary
  • Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2004
  • On the Rise
    • Protein-DNA Logic
    • Computer-Brain Interface/Thought Recognition
    • Molecular Transistors
    • Truth Verification
    • RFID (Item)
    • Trusted Computing Group
    • Augmented Reality
    • Information Extraction
    • Wikis
    • Social Network Analysis
  • At the Peak
    • Electronic Ink/Digital Paper
    • Micro Fuel Cells
    • Speech Recognition for Mobile Devices
    • Inkjet Processes
    • External MPP Grids
    • Linux on Desktop for Mainstream Business Users
    • Semantic Web
    • 802.16d WiMAX
    • Unified Communications
    • UWB/803.15.3a/WiMedia
  • Sliding Into the Trough
    • LEPs/OLEDs
    • Service-Oriented Architecture
    • Really Simple Syndication
    • Web-Services-Enabled Business Models
    • Mesh Networks — Sensor
    • Mesh Networks — Wide Area
    • RFID (Case/Pallet)
    • Smartphone
    • Tablet PC
    • XBRL
    • Wi-Fi Hot Spots
  • Climbing the Slope
    • Location "Aware" Services
    • VoIP
    • Internal MPP Grids
  • Entering the Plateau
    • Speech Recognition for Telephony and Call Center
    • Instant Messaging
    • Internal Web Services
  • Conclusions
  • Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2003
  • Hype Cycle Phase Definitions
  • Benefit Rating and Maturity Level Definitions
  • Acronym Key

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