How likely do you think it is that the United States will experience a debilitating cyber attack as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine? Share your views in the comments below.

I wrote a security advisory on situation in Ukraine, based on our telemetry and extensive OSINT. There were concerns about vigilante groups attacking countries that are friendly to Ukraine, but with a recent blow to Conti, even that threat seems more subdued.

"As of the date of writing this security advisory, security incidents have been more subdued than initially feared. Reported security incidents are mostly distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks. So far, we have not seen any verified reports of industrial control systems (ICS) breaches like the paralyzing power supply attacks in Ukraine in 2015 and 2016."

https://businessinsights.bitdefender.com/security-advisory-a-risk-based-approach-for-improving-your-cybersecurity-posture-due-to-the-invasion-of-ukraine

Like so many different things, it's not IF, but rather when and under what scenario or set of events. At this point, from a cyber-attack perspective, we haven't seen things play out as was thought/predicted. However, they certainly does not mean we won't see cyber-attacks in the coming weeks. Those potential cyber-attacks could be in Ukraine, or really anywhere.