Is OpenAI’s head start in Generative AI akin to Apple’s lead with iOS over Android? Or will this head start be negated as Generative AI will be commoditized like Cloud is today?

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OpenAI only has a lead in releasing their LLM to the public. There are other players with LLM’s of equal complexity such as Meta’s LLaMa and Google’s Bard.

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I wonder if any lead in the public release will be negated by how swiftly others in the space are moving to create similar products that are also robust. The pace at which similar nascent products are being released, no matter how wide or limited, seems to be exponentially quicker than other technologies.

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I don't think that OpenAIs headstart can be compared to iOS/Android, Generative AI will be commoditized.

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OpenAI is ahead of the competition (Apple, Google, Alibaba, etc. ), and can be equated to Apple's lead with iOS over Android. Apple will do whatever they can to slow down the technology with Microsoft involvement. My thought is that it will be commoditized. Microsoft has to make a profit in their $10B investment in the company, they won't invest unless they saw big potential in the technology.

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It is a head start only in the first mover sense. On-par competitors, including open source versions and far more efficient models running on much lower hardware will be available within months, and within 12 months I would expect better performing models from other companies tuned to particular purposes.

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It reminds me of the early days of the cloud when AWS had a clear advantage as the first mover but in the early days was unreliable. Given the non-existent service levels of OpenAI, taking an AI-agnostic strategy will be critical to a robust solution. I can also see SaaS providers giving customers a choice of which AI engine to use. This will also help mitigate the known biases.

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OpenAI has a first mover advantage but it remains to be seen on how well this will translate to the greater market given the amount of money in play from others with similar capabilities.

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There are clearly first-mover advantages but overtime companies like Amazon, Google, et. al. will have strong offerings. I see parity occurring overtime with niche use cases for specific applications becoming the norm.

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Unsure what 'lead' you refer to with iOS, iOS has a ~30% market share, Android has ~68%.
OpenAI does have the first mover advantage and the dominant market share. ChatGPT consistently performs better in evaluation than Bing chat, which consistently outperforms Bard (for now)
My prediction is that MS Copilot(s) will fundamentally change productivity, and will overtake chatgpt and remain the lead for some time

Is OpenAI’s head start in Generative AI akin to Apple’s lead with iOS over Android? Or will this head start be negated as Generative AI will be commoditized like Cloud is today?

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