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The Future of the Internet

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The centrality of the internet to modern life is beyond doubt, and the pressures are mounting. In a volatile world where the pace of change is both rapid and unpredictable, Gartner examines the current situation and explores future developments over the next decade.

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Future of the Internet Research

Overview

The Future of the Internet: The Three Forces Shaping the Internet and How They Will Affect Your Business

13 August 2012

The demand for control, the desire for freedom and the drive for profit are acting on the Internet and the World Wide Web to shape their future development. Business and IT leaders should use this research to start planning their responses now.

Executive Leadership and Innovation Interview: Professor Susan Greenfield Discusses Scenario Choices and the Impacts of Digital Intermediation

29 November 2011

Neuroscientist Professor Susan Greenfield discusses the impact of digital technology on the human mind and explores the social and business implications of the changes wrought by our 40-year experiment with the Internet.

Innovation Insight: The 'Internet of Everything' Innovation Will Transform Business

3 January 2012

The "Internet of Everything" will pervade business, government and society, creating new business models and transforming existing ones. Gartner describes the concept, outlines the opportunities and threats, and explains how CIOs must lead their enterprises to exploit it and mitigate the risks.

Future Scenarios

The Future of the Internet – Understanding and Using the 'Trilemma' Construct for Scenario Planning

13 August 2012

Understanding and predicting future development of the Internet in an uncertain world can be complex and challenging. Scenario planning and the 'Trilemma' construct help business and IT leaders explore those future uncertainties, guiding their strategic thinking and planning in this area.

The Future of the Internet – Exploring Extremes: The Global Community

13 August 2012

This document explores in great detail the "Global Community" scenario, in which the desire for freedom empowers independence and community interests, and holds at bay the combined forces of the demand for control and the drive for profit.

The Future of the Internet – Exploring Extremes: Big Brother is Watching

13 August 2012

This document explores in greater detail the extreme scenario of "Big Brother is watching," in which the demand for control overwhelms the desire for freedom and the drive for profit.

The Future of the Internet – Exploring Extremes: Pay as You Surf

13 August 2012

This document explores in greater detail the extreme scenario, "Pay as You Surf," in which commercial interests and the drive for profit overwhelm both the desire for freedom and the demand for control.

The Future of the Internet – Pragmatic Compromise: Pay If You Want

13 August 2012

This document explores in greater detail the pragmatic compromise that results from the desire for freedom and the drive for profit combined to overpower the demand for control.

The Future of the Internet – Pragmatic Compromise: The Egalitarian Web

13 August 2012

This document explores in greater detail the "Egalitarian Web," the pragmatic compromise that results from the combination of the desire for freedom and the demand for control overpowering the drive for profit.y

The Future of the Internet – Pragmatic Compromise: Power and Profit

13 August 2012

This document explores in greater detail the pragmatic compromise of "Power and Profit," where the demand for control and the drive for profit overwhelm the desire for freedom.

The Demand for Bandwidth

How Will Your Enterprise Leverage Its Global Gigabit per Second Networked Branch Offices?

4 April 2012

As gigabit per second network access becomes available at business digital subscriber line price points, it will become a major technology and business model disrupter for global and national businesses. It also will create a range of business process improvements.

Why Enterprises Need the Bandwidth in Ultra High Speed FTTx Access Networks

14 March 2012

Although 100 Mpbs, 1 Gbps and 10 Gbps FTTx is becoming available worldwide, a major question is being raised: What factors will cause businesses to use all this new bandwidth productively? The drivers of ultra-high-speed bandwidth adoption will affect the selection of enterprise applications.

Toolkit: Bandwidth Estimating Model for Multi-Year Enterprise Site Planning, Version 2.0

15 September 2011

This detailed model lets you quickly assess and forecast bandwidth needs for enterprise sites, based on eight application groups and nine work profiles. The scenarios can model six periods, six user types and six classes of service. Default parameters and bandwidth trends are included.

Market Insight: Ten Competitive Challenges Drive Mobile Broadband Strategy

28 February 2012

With options and competition growing, a mobile broadband strategy requires simultaneous responses to 10 challenges. Users' demand for bandwidth and willingness to pay can easily contrast with spectrum resources and network costs. CSPs must align investments more closely with intended user content.

Market Trends: Worldwide, How CSPs Are Pricing 4G Data Services, 2012

24 January 2012

Communications service providers are deploying fourth generation/Long Term Evolution networks in key markets worldwide to address the increasing demand for mobile broadband. This research describes current trends in pricing strategies for the provisioning of 4G data services.

Privacy, Security and Regulation

Enterprise Strategies for Mitigating Denial-of-Service Attacks

4 August 2011

Growing in both frequency and severity, denial-of-service attacks have the power to cause Internet "blackouts" that can result in damaging downtime for an enterprise's Web presence. Here, we outline the best practices for enterprises to defend against these attacks.

Survey Analysis: Consumer Attitudes Toward Privacy and Internet Security

11 July 2011

The protection of consumer's privacy is a critical issue facing technology and service providers, and is taking on new dimensions as more users join the social graph on the Internet. This research provides valuable insights into consumers' attitudes toward privacy and online security.

Do You Have a Business Case for a Top-Level Domain?

18 August 2011

The Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers has approved the creation of new, generic top-level domains. While they are unnecessary for most organizations, they will represent new business opportunities for some.

ICANN Generic Top-Level Domain Plans Will Increase Fraud Risks and Brand Protection Costs

13 February 2012

The organization responsible for Internet domain naming has introduced new practices for generic top-level domains. The changes will cause significant fraud risks and brand protection issues for established brands.

The Impact on Communications Service Providers

Market Trends: Worldwide, Top Five Disruptive Trends for CSPs, 2012-2015

8 February 2012

For communications service providers, market disruptions pose the greatest risks and opportunities. They should anticipate disruptive trends early and initiate appropriate strategic responses.

Market Trends: Worldwide, CSPs are Seeking to Restore the Price-Usage Relationship for Data

20 June 2012

The absence of a price-usage relationship for data is making the Internet increasingly inefficient and potentially unsustainable as traffic growth continues and usage patterns evolve. This research considers a number of solutions for restoring the price equilibrium in the Internet economy.

Market Trends: Industry Scenarios for CSPs, Worldwide, 2020

5 March 2012

By 2020, the vastly different market landscape confronting communications service providers will require changes and adaptation from them. New roles, market opportunities and threats will emerge.

Market Insight: Facebook's Impact on Communications Service Providers

7 July 2011

The rise of Facebook as a social networking platform and ecosystem for content and application developers has deep implications for communications service providers, particularly as the company's business model is still evolving.

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