Gartner Research

Forecast Analysis: High-Bandwidth Memory, Worldwide, 2022-2027

Published: 16 August 2023


High-bandwidth memory bit demand will grow eightfold, from 123 million GBs in 2022 to 972 million GBs in 2027, driven by the need for high-performance memory in general AI and generative AI models. By 2027, HBM bit consumption will grow to 1.6% of total DRAM consumption, up from 0.5% in 2022.

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Forecast Assumptions
  • By 2027, 30% of data center workload accelerator chips that integrate high-bandwidth memory (HBM) will be used for training AI models, down from 65% in 2022.

  • By 2027, HBM prices will decline by 40% compared to 2022.

  • By 2027, HBM stack density will increase to 48GB from 16GB in 2022 due to technology innovation and vendor prioritization.

Market Impacts
  • HBM revenue will grow from $1.1 billion in 2022 to $5.2 billion in 2027.

  • Between 2022 and 2027, there will be eightfold bit growth for HBM compared to fivefold growth in revenue.

  • By 2027, bit demand for HBM will increase to 972 million

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Shrish Pant

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