Gartner Insights Abstract

Forecast Analysis: PCs, Tablets and Mobile Phones, Worldwide

Published: 01 May 2024

Summary

The device market is expected to grow by 1.7% in 2024 to 1.671 billion units. The PC market is expected to grow at 2.4%, driven by business PC demand, tablets will decline by 0.9%, while the smartphone market will grow by 1.6%. To keep the current market growth in perspective, the unit size of the market in 2024 remains 19.1% lower than it was in 2021.

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Overview

Forecast Assumptions
  • Through 2024, approximately 5% of global consumers are expected to opt for a secondhand premium smartphone as a replacement for their basic or premium smartphone rather than purchasing a brand new one.

  • AI or generative AI (GenAI)-enabled devices will only offer incremental advantages to users through 2025.

  • Through 2024, consumers are expected to replace their smartphones after an average lifetime of approximately 4.2 years, just one month higher than in 2023.

Market Impacts
  • Higher residual value for smartphones is increasing the popularity of the secondhand market, resulting in a smaller total addressable market for new low-end premium and basic models.

  • Vendors marketing

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