Maverick* Research: Surviving the Rise of 'Smart Machines,' the Loss of 'Dream Jobs' and '90% Unemployment'


Archived Published: 23 September 2013 ID: G00253498

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Summary

CIOs must change their mission to address the proliferation of smart machines in a widening range of jobs, including knowledge work, and causing increasing levels of unemployment. (Maverick research deliberately exposes unconventional thinking and may not agree with Gartner's official positions.)

Table of Contents

  • Analysis
    • *Maverick Research
    • Introduction and Summary
    • Key Issue No. 1 — How Will Smart Machines Impact My Business and IT Function Through the Remainder of This Decade?
      • Strategic Planning Assumption
      • Digitization Meets the Workforce — Smart Machines Are the Next Major Technology Market
      • Transitional Scenarios — How Smart Machines Will Develop Through 2020
      • Signposts Point to Major Impacts of Smart Machines in This Decade
      • Smart Machines and the Specter of Destructive Creation
    • Key Issue No. 2 — What Are the Applications and Impacts of Smart Machines Among Highly Skilled Specialist Occupations, and What Particular Jobs Are at Risk for Substitution?
      • Strategic Planning Assumption
      • Dream Jobs at Risk
      • Where Is the Change Occurring?
      • What Will This Lead To?
    • Key Issue No. 3 — 2030 and Beyond: What Are the Political, Social, Economic and People Ramifications of 90% Job Replacement?
      • Societal Crisis
      • Postcrisis, Toward 90% Job Replacement
      • Strategic Planning Assumption
      • Role of Smart Machines in Society
    • Conclusion
    • Appendixes
      • Appendix 1 — Signal Events That Demonstrate the Rapid Pace and Broad Scope of Smart Machine Market Development
      • Appendix 2 — Defining Characteristics of the Four Worlds Based on Societal Variables
  • Recommended Reading
© 2013 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Although Gartners research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, Gartner does not provide legal advice or services and its research should not be construed or used as such. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.

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