Gartner Research

Use Scenario Planning to Prepare for an Uncertain Energy Future

Design an adaptive strategy to prepare for the impact of energy disruption.

Expert(s): Rich McAvey, Zarko Sumic, Ethan Cohen, Mike Ramsey, Bettina Tratz-Ryan, Keith Harrison, Stephen Smith, Chet Geschickter, Nicole Foust, Simon Cushing, Lloyd Jones

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the energy demand is projected to grow 15% from 2020 through 2030.1 Over the same period, the energy-related CO2 emissions are forecast to grow by approximately 11%.

Beyond 2050, industry experts’ forecasts over the last few years diverge significantly. Some anticipate sustained growth, some predict negative growth and others forecast initial growth then decline. These ranges of uncertainty make it impossible for companies to plan specific strategies to cope with their exposure to energy market disruptions.

Executive leaders can use this research to anticipate, prepare and navigate a complex and volatile future.

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