Gartner Research

Succeeding in a World Where the Future of Energy Disrupts Everything

Published: 03 October 2019

ID: G00441578

Analyst(s): Simon Cushing , Ethan Cohen , Zarko Sumic , Chet Geschickter , Nicole Foust , Stephen Smith , Michael Ramsey , Rich McAvey , Keith Harrison , Bettina Tratz-Ryan , Lloyd Jones


Rapidly growing demand for energy — and consequential environmental impacts — is creating global disruptions for every industry. CIOs can use the framework introduced in this research to anticipate, prepare and navigate a complex and volatile future.

Table Of Contents


  • The Future of Energy Will Affect Everyone
  • The Future of Energy Cannot Be Accurately Predicted
  • Extreme Uncertainty Requires a Different Planning Approach
  • How Gartner Developed the Future of Energy Scenarios
    • The Focal Question
  • The Future of Energy Framework
    • Economic Externalities
    • Technology Capabilities
  • Four Future of Energy Scenarios
    • Scenario A: Status Quo World
    • Scenario B: Mixed World
    • Scenario C: Governed World
    • Scenario D: Transformed World
  • How CIOs Can Use Scenarios to Prepare for the Future
    • Ask the Right Questions to Raise Awareness
    • Use Scenarios to Review the Business Model
    • Let Scenario Development Define Changes to the I&T Operating Model

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